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Trader leaderboard/0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354

0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354

0x69f0c154a3412f2b3fa7eb22c6d08e6b5b32fb27
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$167
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$17
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
2,526W / 2,545L · 201 open
Win Return (30d)
50%
2,534W / 2,551L · 187 open
Trades (30d)
5,272
across 1,596 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.12
avg win $4 · loss $3
Profit Factor
1.07
$2,556 won / $2,390 lost
Reward / Risk
1.05
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$156
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $52,974 · all-time $1,605,724

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 53.2% 11,789W/10,367L 6639 $267,116
🌤 Weather 42.4% 457W/621L 381 $8,115
⚽ Sports 39.9% 180W/271L 278 $3,539
🏛 Politics 44.8% 78W/96L 64 $5,561
🎬 Culture 36.0% 50W/89L 35 $1,604
💵 Economy 46.7% 21W/24L 18 $2,685
₿ Crypto 47.1% 8W/9L 11 $180
🤖 Tech 4.5% 1W/21L 6 $184

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

88 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Yan Diomande join Paris Saint-Germain? No 118 0.998 $117.70 $117.70 +0.0%
Will Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig? No 118 0.986 $116.29 $116.29 +0.0%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 88 0.680 $59.53 $-16.63 -21.8%
Will North America Win the WSOP Main Event No 140 0.395 $55.45 $55.45 +0.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? No 53 0.977 $51.46 $51.46 +0.0%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? No 49 0.956 $46.36 $46.36 +0.0%
Will the Republican Party win the SC-06 House seat? No 44 0.935 $41.36 $41.36 +0.0%
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 33 0.963 $32.12 $1.48 +4.8%
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 27 0.979 $26.66 $-0.53 -2.0%
Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries? No 492 0.051 $25.34 $-62.71 -71.2%
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 51 0.390 $19.89 $-10.20 -33.9%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? No 134 0.135 $18.11 $-0.44 -2.4%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? No 52 0.205 $10.62 $-1.82 -14.6%
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? Yes 75 0.130 $9.75 $-5.25 -35.0%
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? Yes 58 0.160 $9.28 $6.86 +284.0%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? No 58 0.155 $8.92 $8.92 +0.0%
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? Yes 30 0.255 $7.65 $7.65 +0.0%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? No 12 0.580 $7.20 $7.20 +0.0%
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? Yes 188 0.038 $7.16 $7.16 +0.0%
Will Andy Levin win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 12,056 0.001 $6.03 $-596.77 -99.0%
Will Matt Sahr win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 12,056 0.001 $6.03 $-596.77 -99.0%
Will Sarah Anthony win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 12,056 0.001 $6.03 $-596.77 -99.0%
Will Rashida Tlaib win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 12,056 0.001 $6.03 $-596.77 -99.0%
Will Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 12,056 0.001 $6.03 $-596.77 -99.0%
Will Kristen McDonald Rivet win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 12,056 0.001 $6.03 $-596.77 -99.0%