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Trader leaderboard/0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354

0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354

0x69f0c154a3412f2b3fa7eb22c6d08e6b5b32fb27
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$28
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$10
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
62%
146W / 90L · 149 open
Win Return (30d)
63%
240W / 142L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
385
across 60 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
−$0.74
avg win $16 · loss $38
Profit Factor
0.94
$425 won / $453 lost
Reward / Risk
0.43
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$74
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $47,695 · all-time $1,600,446

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 53.1% 11,743W/10,357L 6619 $266,865
🌤 Weather 42.3% 454W/620L 375 $8,090
⚽ Sports 39.8% 179W/271L 278 $3,539
🏛 Politics 44.8% 78W/96L 64 $5,484
🎬 Culture 36.0% 50W/89L 35 $1,527
💵 Economy 46.7% 21W/24L 18 $2,685
₿ Crypto 47.1% 8W/9L 11 $180
🤖 Tech 4.5% 1W/21L 6 $184

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

88 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 2,583 0.994 $2,566.27 $171.23 +7.1%
Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries? No 492 0.210 $103.32 $15.28 +17.4%
Will North America Win the WSOP Main Event No 140 0.395 $55.45 $55.45 +0.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? No 53 0.968 $50.99 $50.99 +0.0%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? No 49 0.956 $46.36 $46.36 +0.0%
Will the Republican Party win the SC-06 House seat? No 44 0.935 $41.36 $41.36 +0.0%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 2,949 0.008 $23.59 $-253.84 -91.5%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 37 0.550 $20.47 $-11.91 -36.8%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 5? No 19 1.000 $18.79 $18.79 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 5? No 19 1.000 $18.78 $2.05 +12.3%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 5? No 19 1.000 $18.78 $18.78 +0.0%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? No 134 0.135 $18.11 $-0.44 -2.4%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 5? No 16 1.000 $15.78 $15.78 +0.0%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? No 52 0.215 $11.13 $-1.30 -10.4%
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? Yes 58 0.165 $9.57 $7.15 +296.0%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? No 58 0.165 $9.50 $9.50 +0.0%
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? Yes 75 0.125 $9.38 $-5.62 -37.5%
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? Yes 30 0.255 $7.65 $7.65 +0.0%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? No 12 0.585 $7.26 $7.26 +0.0%
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? Yes 188 0.036 $6.88 $6.88 +0.0%
Will Andy Levin win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 12,056 0.001 $6.03 $-596.77 -99.0%
Will Matt Sahr win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 12,056 0.001 $6.03 $-596.77 -99.0%
Will Sarah Anthony win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 12,056 0.001 $6.03 $-596.77 -99.0%
Will Rashida Tlaib win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 12,056 0.001 $6.03 $-596.77 -99.0%
Will Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 12,056 0.001 $6.03 $-596.77 -99.0%