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Trader leaderboard/0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354

0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354

0x69f0c154a3412f2b3fa7eb22c6d08e6b5b32fb27
PnL (30d)
+$1,150
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$158
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
53%
11,740W / 10,352L · 1,239 open
Win Return (30d)
53%
12,109W / 10,637L · 585 open
Trades (30d)
23,331
across 6,618 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$0.19
avg win $8 · loss $9
Profit Factor
1.05
$26,028 won / $24,880 lost
Reward / Risk
0.93
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$929
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $47,695 · all-time $1,600,446

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 53.1% 11,740W/10,352L 6618 $266,860
🌤 Weather 42.4% 454W/616L 376 $8,098
⚽ Sports 39.6% 178W/271L 277 $3,533
🏛 Politics 44.6% 79W/98L 64 $5,553
🎬 Culture 35.7% 51W/92L 35 $1,597
💵 Economy 48.9% 23W/24L 19 $2,731
₿ Crypto 50.0% 10W/10L 13 $185
🤖 Tech 4.5% 1W/21L 6 $225

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

88 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 2,583 0.996 $2,572.73 $177.69 +7.4%
Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries? No 492 0.194 $95.45 $7.40 +8.4%
Will North America Win the WSOP Main Event No 140 0.400 $56.16 $56.16 +0.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? No 53 0.967 $50.96 $50.96 +0.0%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? No 49 0.956 $46.36 $46.36 +0.0%
Will the Republican Party win the SC-06 House seat? No 44 0.935 $41.36 $41.36 +0.0%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 37 0.545 $20.28 $-12.09 -37.4%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 5? No 19 1.000 $18.79 $18.79 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 5? No 19 1.000 $18.78 $2.05 +12.3%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 5? No 19 1.000 $18.78 $18.78 +0.0%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? No 134 0.135 $18.11 $-0.44 -2.4%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 5? No 16 1.000 $15.78 $15.78 +0.0%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? No 52 0.220 $11.39 $-1.04 -8.4%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 2,949 0.004 $10.32 $-267.10 -96.3%
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? Yes 58 0.165 $9.57 $7.15 +296.0%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? No 58 0.165 $9.50 $9.50 +0.0%
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? Yes 75 0.125 $9.38 $-5.62 -37.5%
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? Yes 30 0.255 $7.65 $7.65 +0.0%
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? Yes 188 0.041 $7.63 $7.63 +0.0%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? No 12 0.585 $7.26 $7.26 +0.0%
Will Andy Levin win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 12,056 0.001 $6.03 $-596.77 -99.0%
Will Matt Sahr win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 12,056 0.001 $6.03 $-596.77 -99.0%
Will Sarah Anthony win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 12,056 0.001 $6.03 $-596.77 -99.0%
Will Rashida Tlaib win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 12,056 0.001 $6.03 $-596.77 -99.0%
Will Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 12,056 0.001 $6.03 $-596.77 -99.0%