| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
2,776 |
1.000 |
$2,774.22 |
$200.65 |
+7.8% |
| Will North America Win the WSOP Main Event |
No |
140 |
0.395 |
$55.45 |
$55.45 |
+0.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
53 |
0.975 |
$51.36 |
$51.36 |
+0.0% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? |
No |
49 |
0.956 |
$46.36 |
$46.36 |
+0.0% |
| Will the Republican Party win the SC-06 House seat? |
No |
44 |
0.935 |
$41.36 |
$41.36 |
+0.0% |
| Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries? |
No |
492 |
0.076 |
$37.39 |
$-50.65 |
-57.5% |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
37 |
0.505 |
$18.79 |
$-13.58 |
-42.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 5? |
No |
19 |
1.000 |
$18.79 |
$18.79 |
+0.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 5? |
No |
19 |
1.000 |
$18.78 |
$2.05 |
+12.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 5? |
No |
19 |
1.000 |
$18.78 |
$18.78 |
+0.0% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
134 |
0.135 |
$18.11 |
$-0.44 |
-2.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 5? |
No |
16 |
1.000 |
$15.78 |
$15.78 |
+0.0% |
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? |
No |
52 |
0.215 |
$11.13 |
$-1.30 |
-10.4% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
75 |
0.125 |
$9.38 |
$-5.62 |
-37.5% |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? |
Yes |
58 |
0.160 |
$9.28 |
$6.86 |
+284.0% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? |
No |
58 |
0.155 |
$8.92 |
$8.92 |
+0.0% |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? |
Yes |
30 |
0.255 |
$7.65 |
$7.65 |
+0.0% |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? |
Yes |
188 |
0.040 |
$7.44 |
$7.44 |
+0.0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? |
No |
12 |
0.580 |
$7.20 |
$7.20 |
+0.0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 5? |
No |
6 |
0.997 |
$6.12 |
$6.12 |
+0.0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 5? |
No |
6 |
0.994 |
$6.10 |
$6.10 |
+0.0% |
| Will Andy Levin win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
12,056 |
0.001 |
$6.03 |
$-596.77 |
-99.0% |
| Will Matt Sahr win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
12,056 |
0.001 |
$6.03 |
$-596.77 |
-99.0% |
| Will Sarah Anthony win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
12,056 |
0.001 |
$6.03 |
$-596.77 |
-99.0% |
| Will Rashida Tlaib win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
12,056 |
0.001 |
$6.03 |
$-596.77 |
-99.0% |