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Trader leaderboard/0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354

0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354

0x69f0c154a3412f2b3fa7eb22c6d08e6b5b32fb27
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$357
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$43
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
57%
308W / 230L · 21 open
Win Return (30d)
57%
320W / 237L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
559
across 107 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$3.76
avg win $13 · loss $21
Profit Factor
0.63
$620 won / $977 lost
Reward / Risk
0.60
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$230
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $52,005 · all-time $1,604,756

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 53.2% 11,777W/10,364L 6639 $267,116
🌤 Weather 42.3% 454W/620L 381 $8,115
⚽ Sports 39.9% 180W/271L 278 $3,539
🏛 Politics 44.8% 78W/96L 64 $5,561
🎬 Culture 36.0% 50W/89L 35 $1,604
💵 Economy 46.7% 21W/24L 18 $2,685
₿ Crypto 47.1% 8W/9L 11 $180
🤖 Tech 4.5% 1W/21L 6 $184

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

84 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will North America Win the WSOP Main Event No 140 0.395 $55.45 $55.45 +0.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? No 53 0.973 $51.25 $51.25 +0.0%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? No 49 0.956 $46.36 $46.36 +0.0%
Will the Republican Party win the SC-06 House seat? No 44 0.935 $41.36 $41.36 +0.0%
Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries? No 492 0.075 $37.15 $-50.90 -57.8%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 37 0.505 $18.79 $-13.58 -42.0%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? No 134 0.135 $18.11 $-0.44 -2.4%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? No 52 0.205 $10.62 $-1.82 -14.6%
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? Yes 75 0.125 $9.38 $-5.62 -37.5%
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? Yes 58 0.160 $9.28 $6.86 +284.0%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? No 58 0.155 $8.92 $8.92 +0.0%
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? Yes 30 0.255 $7.65 $7.65 +0.0%
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? Yes 188 0.039 $7.35 $7.35 +0.0%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? No 12 0.580 $7.20 $7.20 +0.0%
Will Andy Levin win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 12,056 0.001 $6.03 $-596.77 -99.0%
Will Matt Sahr win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 12,056 0.001 $6.03 $-596.77 -99.0%
Will Sarah Anthony win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 12,056 0.001 $6.03 $-596.77 -99.0%
Will Rashida Tlaib win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 12,056 0.001 $6.03 $-596.77 -99.0%
Will Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 12,056 0.001 $6.03 $-596.77 -99.0%
Will Kristen McDonald Rivet win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 12,056 0.001 $6.03 $-596.77 -99.0%
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 11,705 0.001 $5.85 $-579.40 -99.0%
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%? Yes 30 0.160 $4.80 $4.80 +0.0%
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? Yes 5 0.855 $4.28 $4.28 +0.0%
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No 5 0.440 $2.20 $2.20 +0.0%
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%? Yes 19 0.099 $1.85 $1.85 +0.0%