15billionplus
0x6406102b2a67e987021169910c178ac8aa7dbc04
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$21
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$183
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
89%
8W / 1L · 199 open
Win Return (30d)
22%
43W / 157L · 8 open
Trades (30d)
208
across 24 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
−$10.48
avg win $7 · loss $28
Profit Factor
0.24
$7 won / $28 lost
Reward / Risk
0.24
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $26,570 · all-time $953,783
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
100 |
0.737 |
$74.01 |
$-0.35 |
-0.5% |
| Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
100 |
0.675 |
$67.50 |
$-1.50 |
-2.2% |
| Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? |
No |
77 |
0.565 |
$43.75 |
$-1.17 |
-2.6% |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
29 |
0.740 |
$21.52 |
$0.29 |
+1.4% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
20 |
0.849 |
$16.89 |
$0.01 |
+0.1% |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? |
Yes |
16 |
0.735 |
$11.77 |
$0.24 |
+2.1% |
| Will Paper Rex Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.475 |
$9.50 |
$-5.10 |
-34.9% |
| Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
4 |
0.565 |
$2.31 |
$0.02 |
+0.9% |
| Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? |
Yes |
43 |
0.005 |
$0.24 |
$-17.39 |
-98.7% |