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Trader leaderboard/15billionplus

15billionplus

0x6406102b2a67e987021169910c178ac8aa7dbc04
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$76
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$520
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
7%
1W / 13L · 425 open
Win Return (30d)
1%
5W / 423L · 11 open
Trades (30d)
439
across 43 markets · ~10 per market
EV / position
−$25.43
avg win $0 · loss $38
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $77 lost
Reward / Risk
0.01
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $26,623 · all-time $953,783

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 30.1% 91W/211L 496 $230,272
🏛 Politics 43 $15,648
💵 Economy 21 $4,371
🎬 Culture 8 $615
⚽ Sports 100.0% 2W/0L 8 $2,762
🤖 Tech 7 $1,631
₿ Crypto 1 $535
🌤 Weather 1 $166
🔬 Science 1 $166

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 100 0.730 $73.36 $-1.00 -1.4%
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? No 100 0.680 $68.00 $-1.00 -1.4%
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? No 77 0.565 $43.75 $-1.17 -2.6%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No 45 0.820 $36.90 $0.00 +0.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No 28 0.655 $18.36 $0.14 +0.8%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 20 0.849 $16.89 $0.01 +0.1%
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes 22 0.740 $15.97 $0.22 +1.4%
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? Yes 16 0.735 $11.77 $0.24 +2.1%
Will Paper Rex Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026? No 20 0.430 $8.60 $-6.00 -41.1%
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? No 4 0.565 $2.31 $0.02 +0.9%
Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? Yes 43 0.005 $0.24 $-17.39 -98.7%