PnL (30d)

−$59

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$131

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

82%

14W / 3L · 198 open

Win Return (30d)

30%

64W / 147L · 4 open

Trades (30d)

215

across 34 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$19.80

avg win $1 · loss $62

Profit Factor

0.05

$3 won / $62 lost

Reward / Risk

0.02

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	30.1% 91W/211L	496	$230,272
🏛 Politics	—	43	$15,648
💵 Economy	—	21	$4,371
🎬 Culture	—	8	$615
⚽ Sports	100.0% 2W/0L	8	$2,762
🤖 Tech	—	7	$1,631
₿ Crypto	—	1	$535
🌤 Weather	—	1	$166
🔬 Science	—	1	$166

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	100	0.730	$73.31	$-1.05	-1.4%
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	100	0.680	$68.00	$-1.00	-1.4%
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	No	77	0.565	$43.75	$-1.17	-2.6%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	No	45	0.820	$36.90	$0.00	+0.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	28	0.655	$18.36	$0.14	+0.8%
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	23	0.740	$17.17	$0.23	+1.4%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	20	0.849	$16.89	$0.01	+0.1%
Will Paper Rex Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?	No	20	0.430	$8.60	$-6.00	-41.1%
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	4	0.565	$2.31	$0.02	+0.9%
Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	Yes	43	0.005	$0.24	$-17.39	-98.7%