15billionplus
0x6406102b2a67e987021169910c178ac8aa7dbc04
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$14
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$801
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
16%
14W / 75L · 3,230 open
Win Return (30d)
22%
724W / 2,551L · 44 open
Trades (30d)
3,319
across 208 markets · ~16 per market
EV / position
−$1.94
avg win $17 · loss $10
Profit Factor
0.72
$35 won / $48 lost
Reward / Risk
1.80
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $26,500 · all-time $953,712
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
100 |
0.740 |
$74.31 |
$-0.05 |
-0.1% |
| Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
100 |
0.675 |
$67.50 |
$-1.50 |
-2.2% |
| Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? |
No |
77 |
0.570 |
$44.14 |
$-0.78 |
-1.7% |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
29 |
0.740 |
$21.52 |
$0.29 |
+1.4% |
| Will Paper Rex Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.605 |
$12.10 |
$-2.50 |
-17.1% |
| Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
4 |
0.570 |
$2.33 |
$0.04 |
+1.8% |
| Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? |
Yes |
43 |
0.005 |
$0.24 |
$-17.39 |
-98.7% |