15billionplus
0x6406102b2a67e987021169910c178ac8aa7dbc04
PnL (30d)
−$136
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2,248
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
30%
91W / 211L · 5,498 open
Win Return (30d)
22%
1,249W / 4,456L · 95 open
Trades (30d)
5,800
across 496 markets · ~12 per market
EV / position
−$3.49
avg win $11 · loss $15
Profit Factor
0.59
$194 won / $330 lost
Reward / Risk
0.76
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$7
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $26,422 · all-time $953,635
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
100 |
0.740 |
$74.36 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
100 |
0.675 |
$67.50 |
$-1.50 |
-2.2% |
| Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? |
No |
77 |
0.570 |
$44.14 |
$-0.78 |
-1.7% |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? |
Yes |
29 |
0.725 |
$20.99 |
$0.14 |
+0.7% |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.740 |
$14.86 |
$0.20 |
+1.4% |
| Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
4 |
0.570 |
$2.33 |
$0.04 |
+1.8% |
| Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? |
Yes |
43 |
0.005 |
$0.24 |
$-17.39 |
-98.7% |