| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
68 |
0.949 |
$64.70 |
$4.70 |
+7.8% |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? |
No |
72 |
0.875 |
$63.25 |
$3.25 |
+5.4% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
70 |
0.895 |
$63.07 |
$6.69 |
+11.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
116 |
0.465 |
$53.77 |
$-5.86 |
-9.8% |
| Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
60 |
0.715 |
$42.86 |
$-6.12 |
-12.5% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
60 |
0.635 |
$38.10 |
$4.50 |
+13.4% |
| Will Puka Nacua be on the cover of Madden NFL 27? |
No |
42 |
0.898 |
$37.44 |
$-2.98 |
-7.4% |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? |
No |
41 |
0.902 |
$37.12 |
$14.58 |
+64.7% |
| Will Josh Allen be on the cover of Madden NFL 27? |
No |
43 |
0.726 |
$31.03 |
$-11.26 |
-26.6% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? |
No |
31 |
0.991 |
$30.38 |
$0.38 |
+1.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 6? |
No |
33 |
0.915 |
$30.09 |
$0.09 |
+0.3% |
| Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
No |
33 |
0.875 |
$28.92 |
$3.92 |
+15.7% |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? |
No |
29 |
0.986 |
$28.64 |
$2.44 |
+9.3% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
No |
33 |
0.825 |
$27.55 |
$2.56 |
+10.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
30 |
0.785 |
$23.88 |
$5.84 |
+32.4% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? |
Yes |
38 |
0.635 |
$23.81 |
$-3.19 |
-11.8% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
60 |
0.356 |
$21.39 |
$-0.75 |
-3.4% |
| Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
34 |
0.620 |
$20.82 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election? |
Yes |
20 |
0.985 |
$19.69 |
$1.09 |
+5.9% |
| Will Kelly Ayotte win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
20 |
0.967 |
$19.54 |
$2.15 |
+12.4% |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
No |
31 |
0.615 |
$19.31 |
$-5.69 |
-22.8% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? |
No |
60 |
0.310 |
$18.60 |
$-0.60 |
-3.1% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
264 |
0.070 |
$18.48 |
$-38.16 |
-67.4% |
| Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? |
Yes |
59 |
0.309 |
$18.16 |
$-19.34 |
-51.6% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? |
Yes |
20 |
0.885 |
$17.93 |
$2.53 |
+16.4% |