| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
69 |
0.966 |
$66.59 |
$6.59 |
+11.0% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
68 |
0.965 |
$65.76 |
$5.76 |
+9.6% |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? |
No |
72 |
0.875 |
$63.25 |
$3.25 |
+5.4% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
70 |
0.885 |
$62.36 |
$5.98 |
+10.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
116 |
0.489 |
$56.55 |
$-3.08 |
-5.2% |
| Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
60 |
0.714 |
$42.80 |
$-6.17 |
-12.6% |
| Will Josh Allen be on the cover of Madden NFL 27? |
No |
43 |
0.909 |
$38.87 |
$-3.42 |
-8.1% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
60 |
0.635 |
$38.10 |
$4.50 |
+13.4% |
| Will Puka Nacua be on the cover of Madden NFL 27? |
No |
42 |
0.898 |
$37.44 |
$-2.98 |
-7.4% |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? |
No |
41 |
0.903 |
$37.16 |
$14.62 |
+64.9% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? |
No |
31 |
0.993 |
$30.46 |
$0.46 |
+1.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 6? |
No |
33 |
0.910 |
$29.92 |
$-0.08 |
-0.3% |
| Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
No |
33 |
0.875 |
$28.92 |
$3.92 |
+15.7% |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? |
No |
29 |
0.985 |
$28.62 |
$2.43 |
+9.3% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
No |
33 |
0.825 |
$27.55 |
$2.56 |
+10.2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? |
Yes |
38 |
0.645 |
$24.19 |
$-2.81 |
-10.4% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
30 |
0.785 |
$23.88 |
$5.84 |
+32.4% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
60 |
0.357 |
$21.42 |
$-0.72 |
-3.3% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
264 |
0.080 |
$21.12 |
$-35.52 |
-62.7% |
| Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
34 |
0.620 |
$20.82 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Kelly Ayotte win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
20 |
0.987 |
$19.95 |
$2.56 |
+14.7% |
| Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election? |
Yes |
20 |
0.984 |
$19.68 |
$1.08 |
+5.8% |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
No |
31 |
0.615 |
$19.31 |
$-5.69 |
-22.8% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? |
No |
60 |
0.310 |
$18.60 |
$-0.60 |
-3.1% |
| Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? |
Yes |
59 |
0.309 |
$18.13 |
$-19.37 |
-51.6% |