| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
68 |
0.995 |
$67.81 |
$7.81 |
+13.0% |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? |
No |
72 |
0.875 |
$63.25 |
$3.25 |
+5.4% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
70 |
0.890 |
$62.71 |
$6.34 |
+11.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
111 |
0.414 |
$45.90 |
$-11.20 |
-19.6% |
| Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
60 |
0.716 |
$42.92 |
$-6.05 |
-12.4% |
| Will Josh Allen be on the cover of Madden NFL 27? |
No |
43 |
0.939 |
$40.16 |
$-2.13 |
-5.0% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
60 |
0.635 |
$38.10 |
$4.50 |
+13.4% |
| Will Puka Nacua be on the cover of Madden NFL 27? |
No |
42 |
0.898 |
$37.44 |
$-2.98 |
-7.4% |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? |
No |
41 |
0.903 |
$37.14 |
$14.60 |
+64.8% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? |
Yes |
38 |
0.935 |
$35.06 |
$8.06 |
+29.9% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? |
No |
31 |
0.988 |
$30.31 |
$0.31 |
+1.0% |
| Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
No |
33 |
0.875 |
$28.94 |
$3.94 |
+15.7% |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? |
No |
29 |
0.985 |
$28.61 |
$2.42 |
+9.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 6? |
No |
33 |
0.860 |
$28.28 |
$-1.72 |
-5.7% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
No |
33 |
0.825 |
$27.55 |
$2.56 |
+10.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
30 |
0.795 |
$24.18 |
$6.14 |
+34.1% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? |
No |
60 |
0.370 |
$22.20 |
$3.00 |
+15.6% |
| Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
34 |
0.640 |
$21.49 |
$0.67 |
+3.2% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
60 |
0.356 |
$21.39 |
$-0.75 |
-3.4% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
264 |
0.075 |
$19.80 |
$-36.84 |
-65.0% |
| Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election? |
Yes |
20 |
0.986 |
$19.71 |
$1.11 |
+6.0% |
| Will Kelly Ayotte win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
20 |
0.960 |
$19.40 |
$2.01 |
+11.6% |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
No |
31 |
0.615 |
$19.31 |
$-5.69 |
-22.8% |
| Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? |
Yes |
59 |
0.309 |
$18.16 |
$-19.34 |
-51.6% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? |
Yes |
20 |
0.885 |
$17.93 |
$2.53 |
+16.4% |