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Trader leaderboard/SPY-KT

SPY-KT

0x389a21fa2e2445c7f8b915b45b9b009bd641397d
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$253
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$429
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-10.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
35%
12W / 22L · 63 open
Win Return (30d)
22%
21W / 76L
Trades (30d)
97
across 16 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
−$50.70
avg win $325 · loss $145
Profit Factor
0.56
$325 won / $578 lost
Reward / Risk
2.25
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $34,326 · all-time $935,676

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 44.7% 532W/658L 283 $104,395
₿ Crypto 45.4% 44W/53L 27 $4,603
💵 Economy 57.6% 34W/25L 27 $4,804
🤖 Tech 100.0% 5W/0L 7 $992
🎬 Culture 50.0% 4W/4L 2 $351
🏛 Politics — 1 $21

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

25 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August? No 2,148 0.435 $934.57 $-55.43 -5.6%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 August 3-9? No 917 0.635 $582.41 $126.93 +27.9%
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in August? No 744 0.710 $528.49 $33.49 +6.8%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? No 804 0.645 $518.43 $-0.40 -0.1%
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in August? No 5,082 0.086 $434.51 $-239.45 -35.5%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August? No 565 0.575 $325.10 $10.10 +3.2%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August? No 1,209 0.260 $314.37 $13.77 +4.6%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? No 361 0.635 $228.92 $-6.08 -2.6%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? No 760 0.300 $227.86 $-247.12 -52.0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on August 5? No 317 0.630 $200.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? No 887 0.215 $190.63 $-269.36 -58.6%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on August 5? No 357 0.520 $185.71 $-14.29 -7.1%
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 335 0.550 $184.41 $44.41 +31.7%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? No 1,631 0.096 $155.73 $-44.26 -22.1%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? No 718 0.215 $154.31 $-330.94 -68.2%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No 417 0.370 $154.24 $-18.76 -10.8%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 1,915 0.070 $134.81 $-65.19 -32.6%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? No 741 0.175 $129.76 $-282.57 -68.5%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? No 330 0.355 $117.15 $-52.85 -31.1%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 233 0.455 $105.81 $5.81 +5.8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? No 446 0.225 $100.29 $-195.37 -66.1%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 874 0.095 $83.02 $-66.98 -44.7%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $930 Week of August 3 2026? No 173 0.460 $79.39 $-50.61 -38.9%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? No 509 0.150 $76.36 $-73.64 -49.1%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of August 3 2026? No 42 0.615 $25.79 $-1.89 -6.8%