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Trader leaderboard/SPY-KT

SPY-KT

0x389a21fa2e2445c7f8b915b45b9b009bd641397d
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$87
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$244
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
15%
3W / 17L · 26 open
Win Return (30d)
57%
26W / 20L
Trades (30d)
46
across 7 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$28.97
avg win $70 · loss $79
Profit Factor
0.45
$70 won / $157 lost
Reward / Risk
0.89
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $34,326 · all-time $935,676

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 44.7% 532W/658L 283 $104,395
₿ Crypto 45.4% 44W/53L 27 $4,603
💵 Economy 57.6% 34W/25L 27 $4,804
🤖 Tech 100.0% 5W/0L 7 $992
🎬 Culture 50.0% 4W/4L 2 $351
🏛 Politics 1 $21

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

25 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August? No 2,148 0.430 $923.82 $-66.17 -6.7%
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in August? No 992 0.710 $704.65 $44.65 +6.8%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 August 3-9? No 917 0.630 $577.83 $122.35 +26.9%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? No 804 0.645 $518.43 $-0.40 -0.1%
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in August? No 5,082 0.087 $444.68 $-229.28 -34.0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August? No 565 0.575 $325.10 $10.10 +3.2%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August? No 1,209 0.255 $308.32 $7.72 +2.6%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? No 760 0.315 $239.25 $-235.73 -49.6%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? No 361 0.635 $228.92 $-6.08 -2.6%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? No 887 0.220 $195.07 $-264.93 -57.6%
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 335 0.550 $184.41 $44.41 +31.7%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? No 718 0.225 $161.49 $-323.76 -66.7%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? No 1,631 0.097 $157.36 $-42.63 -21.3%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No 417 0.375 $156.33 $-16.67 -9.6%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 1,915 0.078 $149.36 $-50.64 -25.3%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? No 741 0.175 $129.76 $-282.57 -68.5%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? No 330 0.355 $117.15 $-52.85 -31.1%
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No 369 0.315 $116.34 $-1.09 -0.9%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 233 0.450 $104.65 $4.65 +4.7%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? No 446 0.225 $100.29 $-195.37 -66.1%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 874 0.095 $83.02 $-66.98 -44.7%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? No 509 0.150 $76.36 $-73.64 -49.1%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $930 Week of August 3 2026? No 173 0.435 $75.07 $-54.93 -42.3%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? No 39 0.725 $28.62 $-1.38 -4.6%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of August 3 2026? No 42 0.540 $22.65 $-5.03 -18.2%