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Trader leaderboard/SPY-KT

SPY-KT

0x389a21fa2e2445c7f8b915b45b9b009bd641397d
PnL (30d)
−$3,076
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2,392
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-5.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
45%
532W / 658L · 248 open
Win Return (30d)
42%
600W / 838L
Trades (30d)
1,438
across 283 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$12.82
avg win $141 · loss $108
Profit Factor
0.81
$12,976 won / $16,052 lost
Reward / Risk
1.30
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1,648
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $34,326 · all-time $935,676

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 44.7% 532W/658L 283 $104,395
₿ Crypto 45.4% 44W/53L 27 $4,603
💵 Economy 57.6% 34W/25L 27 $4,804
🤖 Tech 100.0% 5W/0L 7 $992
🎬 Culture 50.0% 4W/4L 2 $351
🏛 Politics 1 $21

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

25 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August? No 2,148 0.440 $945.31 $-44.69 -4.5%
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in August? No 992 0.715 $709.61 $49.61 +7.5%
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in August? No 5,082 0.134 $678.45 $4.49 +0.7%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 August 3-9? No 917 0.580 $531.97 $76.49 +16.8%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? No 804 0.645 $518.43 $-0.40 -0.1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August? No 565 0.565 $319.39 $4.39 +1.4%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August? No 1,209 0.225 $272.05 $-28.55 -9.5%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? No 361 0.645 $232.53 $-2.47 -1.1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? No 887 0.235 $208.37 $-251.63 -54.7%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? No 760 0.255 $193.68 $-281.30 -59.2%
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 335 0.555 $186.09 $46.09 +32.9%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 1,915 0.090 $172.34 $-27.66 -13.8%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? No 1,631 0.098 $158.99 $-41.00 -20.5%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No 417 0.380 $158.41 $-14.59 -8.4%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? No 718 0.215 $154.31 $-330.94 -68.2%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? No 741 0.165 $122.35 $-289.98 -70.3%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? No 330 0.360 $118.80 $-51.20 -30.1%
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No 369 0.320 $118.19 $0.76 +0.6%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 233 0.445 $103.49 $3.49 +3.5%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? No 509 0.150 $76.36 $-73.64 -49.1%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 874 0.085 $74.28 $-75.72 -50.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? No 446 0.160 $71.31 $-224.34 -75.9%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $930 Week of August 3 2026? No 173 0.355 $61.27 $-68.73 -52.9%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? No 39 0.725 $28.62 $-1.38 -4.6%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of August 3 2026? No 42 0.510 $21.39 $-6.29 -22.7%