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Trader leaderboard/SPY-KT

SPY-KT

0x389a21fa2e2445c7f8b915b45b9b009bd641397d
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$65
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+18.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
4W / 4L
Win Return (30d)
50%
4W / 4L
Trades (30d)
8
across 2 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$32.64
avg win $166 · loss $101
Profit Factor
1.65
$166 won / $101 lost
Reward / Risk
1.65
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$101
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $34,326 · all-time $937,008

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 44.7% 532W/658L 283 $104,395
💵 Economy 47.1% 24W/27L 26 $4,269
₿ Crypto 36.5% 23W/40L 22 $3,770
🤖 Tech 100.0% 5W/0L 7 $992
🎬 Culture 50.0% 4W/4L 2 $351
🏛 Politics 1 $21

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

25 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August? No 2,148 0.445 $956.05 $-33.94 -3.4%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 August 3-9? No 917 0.625 $573.24 $117.76 +25.9%
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in August? No 744 0.710 $528.49 $33.49 +6.8%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? No 804 0.645 $518.43 $-0.40 -0.1%
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in August? No 5,082 0.099 $500.58 $-173.38 -25.7%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August? No 565 0.570 $322.22 $7.22 +2.3%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August? No 1,209 0.250 $302.28 $1.68 +0.6%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? No 760 0.310 $235.46 $-239.53 -50.4%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? No 361 0.635 $228.92 $-6.08 -2.6%
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on August 5? No 317 0.665 $211.11 $11.11 +5.6%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? No 887 0.210 $186.20 $-273.80 -59.5%
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 335 0.550 $184.41 $44.41 +31.7%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on August 5? No 357 0.455 $162.50 $-37.50 -18.7%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No 417 0.375 $156.33 $-16.67 -9.6%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? No 1,631 0.096 $155.73 $-44.26 -22.1%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? No 718 0.215 $154.31 $-330.94 -68.2%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 1,915 0.070 $134.81 $-65.19 -32.6%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? No 741 0.175 $129.76 $-282.57 -68.5%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? No 330 0.355 $117.15 $-52.85 -31.1%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 233 0.445 $103.49 $3.49 +3.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? No 446 0.225 $100.29 $-195.37 -66.1%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $930 Week of August 3 2026? No 173 0.485 $83.70 $-46.30 -35.6%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 874 0.095 $83.02 $-66.98 -44.7%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? No 509 0.150 $76.36 $-73.64 -49.1%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of August 3 2026? No 42 0.625 $26.21 $-1.47 -5.3%