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Trader leaderboard/SPY-KT

SPY-KT

0x389a21fa2e2445c7f8b915b45b9b009bd641397d
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$150
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$240
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
56%
156W / 122L · 31 open
Win Return (30d)
50%
156W / 153L
Trades (30d)
309
across 67 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$2.50
avg win $110 · loss $108
Profit Factor
0.96
$3,187 won / $3,338 lost
Reward / Risk
1.02
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$300
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $36,114 · all-time $937,465

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 44.7% 532W/658L 283 $104,395
💵 Economy 47.1% 24W/27L 26 $4,269
₿ Crypto 36.5% 23W/40L 22 $3,770
🤖 Tech 100.0% 5W/0L 7 $992
🎬 Culture 50.0% 4W/4L 2 $351
🏛 Politics — 1 $21

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

25 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August? No 2,148 0.445 $956.05 $-33.94 -3.4%
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in August? No 744 0.710 $528.49 $33.49 +6.8%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? No 804 0.645 $518.43 $-0.40 -0.1%
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in August? No 5,082 0.099 $500.58 $-173.38 -25.7%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 August 3-9? No 688 0.590 $405.86 $64.25 +18.8%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August? No 565 0.575 $325.10 $10.10 +3.2%
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on August 5? No 432 0.700 $302.55 $32.55 +12.1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August? No 1,209 0.245 $296.23 $-4.37 -1.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? No 760 0.315 $239.25 $-235.73 -49.6%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? No 361 0.640 $230.72 $-4.28 -1.8%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on August 5? No 470 0.470 $220.92 $-49.08 -18.2%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? No 887 0.215 $190.63 $-269.36 -58.6%
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 335 0.545 $182.74 $42.74 +30.5%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? No 718 0.215 $154.31 $-330.94 -68.2%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No 417 0.370 $154.24 $-18.76 -10.8%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? No 1,631 0.093 $151.66 $-48.34 -24.2%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 1,915 0.076 $146.49 $-53.51 -26.8%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? No 741 0.175 $129.76 $-282.57 -68.5%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? No 330 0.355 $117.15 $-52.85 -31.1%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 233 0.445 $103.49 $3.49 +3.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? No 446 0.215 $95.83 $-199.83 -67.6%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 874 0.095 $83.02 $-66.98 -44.7%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $930 Week of August 3 2026? No 173 0.465 $80.25 $-49.75 -38.3%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? No 509 0.150 $76.36 $-73.64 -49.1%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of August 3 2026? No 42 0.620 $26.00 $-1.68 -6.1%