tolledo
0x1e66abb6c966fa1ffbedec7af06190cbcf9441e7
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$4
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-38.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
2%
1W / 65L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
3%
2W / 65L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
69
across 6 markets · ~12 per market
EV / position
−$1.10
avg win $0 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.05
$0 won / $5 lost
Reward / Risk
0.16
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,932 · all-time $4,134,663
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
281 |
0.018 |
$4.91 |
$-0.14 |
-2.8% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
Yes |
144 |
0.019 |
$2.74 |
$0.29 |
+11.8% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? |
Yes |
161 |
0.016 |
$2.58 |
$0.16 |
+6.7% |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
159 |
0.016 |
$2.55 |
$0.16 |
+6.7% |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
135 |
0.005 |
$0.74 |
$0.07 |
+10.0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August? |
Yes |
220 |
0.003 |
$0.55 |
$-0.33 |
-37.5% |
| Squid FDV above $200M one day after launch |
Yes |
182 |
0.003 |
$0.46 |
$-1.91 |
-80.8% |
| Will Connecticut Sun win the 2026 WNBA Finals? |
Yes |
327 |
0.001 |
$0.16 |
$-2.13 |
-92.9% |
| Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? |
Yes |
4 |
0.017 |
$0.07 |
$0.04 |
+105.7% |
| Will Chip Keating win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
1 |
0.001 |
$0.00 |
$-0.00 |
-88.1% |