tolledo
0x1e66abb6c966fa1ffbedec7af06190cbcf9441e7
PnL (30d)
−$2
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$4
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
20%
36W / 141L · 74 open
Win Return (30d)
24%
60W / 188L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
251
across 61 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$0.04
avg win $2 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.95
$33 won / $35 lost
Reward / Risk
0.91
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,507 · all-time $4,133,238
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
281 |
0.021 |
$5.89 |
$0.84 |
+16.7% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
151 |
0.020 |
$3.02 |
$0.45 |
+17.6% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? |
Yes |
161 |
0.017 |
$2.66 |
$0.24 |
+10.0% |
| Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? |
No |
143 |
0.018 |
$2.57 |
$0.14 |
+5.9% |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
159 |
0.015 |
$2.39 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
Yes |
144 |
0.015 |
$2.09 |
$-0.36 |
-14.7% |
| Squid FDV above $200M one day after launch |
Yes |
182 |
0.005 |
$1.00 |
$-1.37 |
-57.7% |
| Will Connecticut Sun win the 2026 WNBA Finals? |
Yes |
327 |
0.001 |
$0.16 |
$-2.13 |
-92.9% |
| Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? |
Yes |
4 |
0.017 |
$0.07 |
$0.04 |
+105.7% |
| Will Chip Keating win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
1 |
0.001 |
$0.00 |
$-0.00 |
-88.1% |