PnL (30d)

−$3

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-24.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 1L · 29 open

Win Return (30d)

39%

11W / 17L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

30

across 6 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$2.57

· loss $3

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $3 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

−$3

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	20.3% 36W/141L	70	$244
🏛 Politics	—	5	$16
⚽ Sports	—	4	$15
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/1L	4	$8
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/1L	2	$7
🤖 Tech	—	1	$3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	281	0.018	$4.91	$-0.14	-2.8%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	145	0.021	$2.97	$0.51	+20.6%
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	Yes	144	0.019	$2.81	$0.36	+14.7%
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	Yes	161	0.017	$2.74	$0.32	+13.3%
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	159	0.015	$2.47	$0.08	+3.3%
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?	Yes	220	0.003	$0.55	$-0.33	-37.5%
Squid FDV above $200M one day after launch	Yes	182	0.003	$0.46	$-1.91	-80.8%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	74	0.006	$0.44	$0.07	+20.0%
Will Connecticut Sun win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	327	0.001	$0.16	$-2.13	-92.9%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	4	0.017	$0.07	$0.04	+105.7%
Will Chip Keating win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	1	0.001	$0.00	$-0.00	-88.1%