PnL (30d)

+$3

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+10.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

47%

8W / 9L · 34 open

Win Return (30d)

40%

20W / 30L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

51

across 21 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$0.32

avg win $1 · loss $1

Profit Factor

1.69

$7 won / $4 lost

Reward / Risk

0.85

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	20.3% 36W/141L	70	$244
🏛 Politics	—	6	$19
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/1L	5	$11
⚽ Sports	—	4	$15
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/1L	2	$7
🤖 Tech	—	1	$3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	281	0.021	$5.75	$0.70	+13.9%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	145	0.020	$2.90	$0.43	+17.6%
Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	No	143	0.018	$2.64	$0.21	+8.8%
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	Yes	161	0.016	$2.58	$0.16	+6.7%
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	159	0.015	$2.39	$0.00	+0.0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	Yes	144	0.015	$2.09	$-0.36	-14.7%
Squid FDV above $200M one day after launch	Yes	182	0.005	$1.00	$-1.37	-57.7%
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?	Yes	220	0.004	$0.99	$0.11	+12.5%
Will Connecticut Sun win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	327	0.001	$0.16	$-2.13	-92.9%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	4	0.017	$0.07	$0.04	+105.7%
Will Chip Keating win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	1	0.001	$0.00	$-0.00	-88.1%