tolledo
0x1e66abb6c966fa1ffbedec7af06190cbcf9441e7
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$6
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-30.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
12%
5W / 36L · 21 open
Win Return (30d)
37%
23W / 39L
Trades (30d)
62
across 12 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$0.85
avg win $0 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.18
$1 won / $7 lost
Reward / Risk
0.14
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,652 · all-time $4,134,383
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
281 |
0.021 |
$5.75 |
$0.70 |
+13.9% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
145 |
0.020 |
$2.90 |
$0.43 |
+17.6% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? |
Yes |
161 |
0.017 |
$2.74 |
$0.32 |
+13.3% |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
159 |
0.015 |
$2.47 |
$0.08 |
+3.3% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
Yes |
144 |
0.015 |
$2.23 |
$-0.22 |
-8.8% |
| Squid FDV above $200M one day after launch |
Yes |
182 |
0.004 |
$0.73 |
$-1.64 |
-69.2% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August? |
Yes |
220 |
0.003 |
$0.66 |
$-0.22 |
-25.0% |
| Will Connecticut Sun win the 2026 WNBA Finals? |
Yes |
327 |
0.001 |
$0.16 |
$-2.13 |
-92.9% |
| Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? |
Yes |
4 |
0.017 |
$0.07 |
$0.04 |
+105.7% |
| Will Chip Keating win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
1 |
0.001 |
$0.00 |
$-0.00 |
-88.1% |