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Trader leaderboard/wavesinthesky

wavesinthesky

0x07d126ea6f8542a58ee2c4c7c31535dd9b3e8ffa
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
—
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
—
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
0%
0W / 1L
Trades (30d)
1
across 1 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
—
no settled positions
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,847 · all-time $993,081

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 28.1% 169W/432L 212 $2,086
💵 Economy 50.0% 6W/6L 18 $209
₿ Crypto 50.0% 6W/6L 16 $192
🏛 Politics — 9 $48
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/3L 5 $7
🌤 Weather — 1 $0
🔬 Science — 1 $0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

122 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes 689 0.289 $199.52 $19.28 +10.7%
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? Yes 2,183 0.078 $170.24 $-7.09 -4.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 145 1.000 $144.94 $143.20 +8229.2%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes 600 0.095 $57.02 $-107.02 -65.2%
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? Yes 1,557 0.036 $56.05 $-19.89 -26.2%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August? Yes 585 0.096 $55.87 $33.81 +153.3%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in August? Yes 250 0.188 $46.91 $-13.41 -22.2%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 967 0.043 $41.08 $9.28 +29.2%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August? Yes 165 0.245 $40.42 $25.87 +177.7%
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes 85 0.285 $24.21 $-3.98 -14.1%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in August? Yes 45 0.505 $22.72 $15.52 +215.6%
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? Yes 156 0.115 $17.94 $-9.66 -35.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August? Yes 567 0.023 $13.04 $4.11 +46.0%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes 50 0.260 $13.00 $-0.50 -3.7%
Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? Yes 1,263 0.010 $12.63 $-5.69 -31.1%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? Yes 100 0.125 $12.50 $2.10 +20.2%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 45 0.265 $11.93 $11.47 +2524.0%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December? Yes 173 0.050 $8.63 $-0.40 -4.4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? Yes 125 0.064 $8.00 $-0.35 -4.2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 54 0.120 $6.54 $-5.00 -43.3%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes 158 0.040 $6.24 $-3.16 -33.6%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes 78 0.075 $5.85 $-5.35 -47.8%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on August 5? Yes 170 0.029 $5.01 $1.89 +60.2%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? Yes 50 0.095 $4.75 $-0.75 -13.6%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes 60 0.075 $4.50 $-6.20 -58.0%