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Trader leaderboard/wavesinthesky

wavesinthesky

0x07d126ea6f8542a58ee2c4c7c31535dd9b3e8ffa
Scoped to Science — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Science · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
—
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
—
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
0%
0W / 1L
Trades (30d)
1
across 1 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
—
no settled positions
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,393 · all-time $992,626

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 25.9% 151W/432L 212 $2,086
💵 Economy 25.0% 2W/6L 18 $209
₿ Crypto 25.0% 2W/6L 16 $192
🏛 Politics — 9 $48
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/3L 5 $7
🌤 Weather — 1 $0
🔬 Science — 1 $0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

125 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes 689 0.289 $199.52 $19.28 +10.7%
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? Yes 2,183 0.078 $170.24 $-7.09 -4.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 300 0.504 $151.20 $147.60 +4100.0%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes 600 0.095 $57.02 $-107.02 -65.2%
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? Yes 1,557 0.035 $55.12 $-20.82 -27.4%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 967 0.043 $41.95 $10.15 +31.9%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in August? Yes 205 0.183 $37.54 $-7.77 -17.2%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August? Yes 600 0.062 $37.50 $14.88 +65.8%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 30 1.000 $29.98 $22.53 +302.1%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August? Yes 170 0.144 $24.48 $9.48 +63.2%
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes 85 0.285 $24.21 $-3.98 -14.1%
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? Yes 156 0.115 $17.94 $-9.66 -35.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in August? Yes 45 0.315 $14.17 $6.97 +96.9%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes 50 0.265 $13.25 $-0.25 -1.9%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August? Yes 567 0.022 $12.76 $3.83 +42.9%
Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? Yes 1,263 0.010 $12.63 $-5.69 -31.1%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? Yes 100 0.125 $12.50 $2.10 +20.2%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December? Yes 173 0.051 $8.78 $-0.24 -2.7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? Yes 125 0.059 $7.44 $-0.91 -10.9%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes 158 0.041 $6.48 $-2.92 -31.1%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes 78 0.075 $5.85 $-5.35 -47.8%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 90 0.058 $5.17 $4.27 +469.4%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on August 5? Yes 170 0.030 $5.10 $1.97 +62.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 54 0.093 $5.10 $-6.45 -55.9%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 25 0.202 $5.05 $4.13 +447.3%