| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
8,700 |
0.855 |
$7,438.50 |
$834.61 |
+12.6% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
5,000 |
0.945 |
$4,725.00 |
$205.00 |
+4.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
4,400 |
0.815 |
$3,585.56 |
$-202.44 |
-5.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
3,000 |
0.972 |
$2,916.00 |
$60.00 |
+2.1% |
| Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? |
Yes |
2,253 |
0.959 |
$2,159.94 |
$62.15 |
+3.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
2,600 |
0.815 |
$2,118.73 |
$454.75 |
+27.3% |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? |
No |
2,064 |
0.984 |
$2,031.34 |
$155.77 |
+8.3% |
| Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? |
No |
1,500 |
0.964 |
$1,445.99 |
$21.00 |
+1.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
1,400 |
0.915 |
$1,281.00 |
$189.00 |
+17.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
1,800 |
0.541 |
$974.70 |
$-113.70 |
-10.4% |
| Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
No |
994 |
0.795 |
$790.60 |
$34.81 |
+4.6% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
800 |
0.655 |
$524.00 |
$-12.00 |
-2.2% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.495 |
$494.99 |
$-65.00 |
-11.6% |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? |
No |
600 |
0.776 |
$465.60 |
$-38.40 |
-7.6% |
| Will Rodri join Real Madrid? |
Yes |
450 |
0.764 |
$343.80 |
$0.80 |
+0.2% |