| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
8,700 |
0.855 |
$7,438.50 |
$834.61 |
+12.6% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
5,000 |
0.945 |
$4,725.00 |
$205.00 |
+4.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
4,000 |
0.835 |
$3,340.00 |
$-116.00 |
-3.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
3,000 |
0.968 |
$2,904.00 |
$48.00 |
+1.7% |
| Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? |
Yes |
2,253 |
0.961 |
$2,164.45 |
$66.65 |
+3.2% |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? |
No |
2,064 |
0.983 |
$2,028.24 |
$152.67 |
+8.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.765 |
$1,530.00 |
$334.00 |
+27.9% |
| Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? |
No |
1,500 |
0.964 |
$1,445.24 |
$20.25 |
+1.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
1,400 |
0.885 |
$1,239.00 |
$147.00 |
+13.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
1,800 |
0.543 |
$977.40 |
$-111.00 |
-10.2% |
| Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
No |
994 |
0.805 |
$800.55 |
$44.75 |
+5.9% |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? |
No |
600 |
0.941 |
$564.60 |
$60.60 |
+12.0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.435 |
$434.99 |
$-125.00 |
-22.3% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
400 |
0.680 |
$272.00 |
$4.00 |
+1.5% |
| Will Rodri join Real Madrid? |
Yes |
250 |
0.781 |
$195.37 |
$6.37 |
+3.4% |