| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
8,700 |
0.855 |
$7,438.50 |
$834.61 |
+12.6% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
5,000 |
0.945 |
$4,725.00 |
$205.00 |
+4.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
4,000 |
0.835 |
$3,340.00 |
$-116.00 |
-3.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
3,000 |
0.966 |
$2,896.50 |
$40.50 |
+1.4% |
| Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? |
Yes |
2,556 |
0.971 |
$2,480.68 |
$101.16 |
+4.3% |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? |
No |
2,102 |
0.982 |
$2,063.85 |
$154.38 |
+8.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.765 |
$1,530.00 |
$334.00 |
+27.9% |
| Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? |
No |
1,500 |
0.964 |
$1,445.99 |
$21.00 |
+1.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
1,400 |
0.885 |
$1,239.00 |
$147.00 |
+13.5% |
| Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
No |
994 |
0.805 |
$800.55 |
$44.75 |
+5.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
1,400 |
0.498 |
$697.20 |
$-194.80 |
-21.8% |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? |
No |
600 |
0.942 |
$564.90 |
$60.90 |
+12.1% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.435 |
$434.99 |
$-125.00 |
-22.3% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
400 |
0.670 |
$268.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Rodri join Real Madrid? |
Yes |
250 |
0.781 |
$195.37 |
$6.37 |
+3.4% |