| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
8,700 |
0.855 |
$7,438.50 |
$834.61 |
+12.6% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
5,000 |
0.945 |
$4,725.00 |
$205.00 |
+4.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
4,000 |
0.840 |
$3,360.00 |
$-96.00 |
-2.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
3,000 |
0.968 |
$2,902.50 |
$46.50 |
+1.6% |
| Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? |
Yes |
2,253 |
0.959 |
$2,159.94 |
$62.15 |
+3.0% |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? |
No |
2,064 |
0.982 |
$2,027.21 |
$151.64 |
+8.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.785 |
$1,570.00 |
$374.00 |
+31.3% |
| Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? |
No |
1,500 |
0.964 |
$1,445.24 |
$20.25 |
+1.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
1,400 |
0.895 |
$1,253.00 |
$161.00 |
+14.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
1,800 |
0.518 |
$933.30 |
$-155.10 |
-14.3% |
| Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
No |
994 |
0.795 |
$790.60 |
$34.81 |
+4.6% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
800 |
0.660 |
$528.00 |
$-8.00 |
-1.5% |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? |
No |
600 |
0.850 |
$510.00 |
$6.00 |
+1.2% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.465 |
$464.99 |
$-95.00 |
-17.0% |
| Will Rodri join Real Madrid? |
Yes |
250 |
0.780 |
$195.12 |
$6.12 |
+3.2% |
| Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? |
No |
24 |
0.462 |
$11.23 |
$-0.01 |
-0.1% |