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Trader leaderboard/rocky42018

rocky42018

0xeda045f91a24d199f78ef1f591fbbe6a5b517dff
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$766
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$177
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
42%
289W / 405L · 358 open
Win Return (30d)
59%
617W / 435L
Trades (30d)
1,052
across 40 markets · ~26 per market
EV / position
−$33.28
avg win $20 · loss $82
Profit Factor
0.22
$220 won / $985 lost
Reward / Risk
0.24
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$48
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $15,728 · all-time $9,733,476

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 38.2% 2,815W/4,554L 551 $225,730
💵 Economy 33.3% 26W/52L 18 $6,016
🏛 Politics 33.0% 32W/65L 18 $4,844
⚽ Sports 27.8% 15W/39L 12 $787
🌤 Weather 34.4% 31W/59L 9 $911
🎬 Culture 56.2% 9W/7L 6 $285
₿ Crypto 51.9% 14W/13L 5 $637

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

73 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 10,000-20,000? No 485 0.928 $450.08 $-13.80 -3.0%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? No 491 0.901 $442.60 $17.78 +4.2%
Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? No 499 0.740 $369.26 $19.96 +5.7%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? Yes 282 0.985 $277.81 $2.56 +0.9%
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No 612 0.420 $256.99 $64.41 +33.4%
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? No 290 0.860 $249.40 $9.44 +3.9%
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 277 0.890 $246.53 $2.77 +1.1%
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No 239 0.986 $235.21 $5.42 +2.4%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? No 274 0.830 $227.42 $-13.70 -5.7%
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? Yes 299 0.730 $218.36 $-10.27 -4.5%
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? Yes 300 0.595 $178.56 $10.51 +6.3%
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? Yes 204 0.808 $164.93 $-18.68 -10.2%
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? No 313 0.421 $132.11 $82.05 +163.9%
Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? Yes 499 0.260 $129.83 $48.25 +59.1%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes 299 0.395 $118.23 $7.48 +6.8%
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? Yes 300 0.385 $115.50 $-13.50 -10.5%
Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? Yes 442 0.230 $101.58 $38.29 +60.5%
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? Yes 133 0.680 $90.44 $38.33 +73.6%
Maduro guilty of all counts? Yes 298 0.275 $81.82 $55.01 +205.2%
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 30,000-40,000? Yes 300 0.225 $67.50 $-46.50 -40.8%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes 137 0.485 $66.63 $-29.06 -30.4%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 424 0.145 $61.50 $-6.36 -9.4%
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? Yes 358 0.170 $60.90 $-47.54 -43.8%
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027? Yes 764 0.076 $58.45 $-144.04 -71.1%
Will the Bengals win the season series against the Browns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes 111 0.435 $48.37 $1.67 +3.6%