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Trader leaderboard/rocky42018

rocky42018

0xeda045f91a24d199f78ef1f591fbbe6a5b517dff
PnL (30d)
−$5,729
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$164
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
38%
2,815W / 4,554L · 747 open
Win Return (30d)
40%
3,251W / 4,849L · 16 open
Trades (30d)
8,116
across 551 markets · ~15 per market
EV / position
−$11.41
avg win $59 · loss $54
Profit Factor
0.66
$11,115 won / $16,843 lost
Reward / Risk
1.10
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1,559
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $15,728 · all-time $9,733,476

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 38.2% 2,815W/4,554L 551 $225,730
🏛 Politics 33.0% 32W/65L 19 $5,016
💵 Economy 35.8% 39W/70L 18 $8,227
⚽ Sports 38.1% 24W/39L 13 $951
🌤 Weather 35.2% 32W/59L 10 $912
🎬 Culture 56.2% 9W/7L 6 $285
₿ Crypto 93.1% 27W/2L 5 $649

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

71 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 10,000-20,000? No 485 0.927 $449.84 $-14.05 -3.0%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? No 491 0.901 $442.60 $17.78 +4.2%
Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? No 499 0.745 $371.75 $22.45 +6.4%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? Yes 282 0.986 $278.09 $2.84 +1.0%
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No 612 0.420 $256.99 $64.41 +33.4%
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? No 290 0.856 $248.09 $8.13 +3.4%
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 277 0.890 $246.53 $2.77 +1.1%
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No 239 0.985 $235.09 $5.30 +2.3%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? No 274 0.835 $228.79 $-12.33 -5.1%
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? Yes 299 0.725 $216.87 $-11.77 -5.1%
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? Yes 300 0.595 $178.56 $10.51 +6.3%
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? Yes 204 0.807 $164.73 $-18.89 -10.3%
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? No 313 0.421 $132.11 $82.05 +163.9%
Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? Yes 499 0.255 $127.33 $45.75 +56.1%
Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? Yes 442 0.280 $123.66 $60.37 +95.4%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes 299 0.395 $118.23 $7.48 +6.8%
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? Yes 300 0.380 $114.00 $-15.00 -11.6%
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? Yes 133 0.690 $91.76 $39.65 +76.1%
Maduro guilty of all counts? Yes 298 0.285 $84.76 $57.95 +216.2%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes 137 0.485 $66.63 $-29.06 -30.4%
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 30,000-40,000? Yes 300 0.220 $66.00 $-48.00 -42.1%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 424 0.145 $61.50 $-6.36 -9.4%
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? Yes 358 0.170 $60.90 $-47.54 -43.8%
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027? Yes 764 0.077 $59.21 $-143.27 -70.8%
Will the Bengals win the season series against the Browns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes 111 0.435 $48.37 $1.67 +3.6%