| Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 10,000-20,000? |
No |
485 |
0.931 |
$451.54 |
$-12.35 |
-2.7% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? |
No |
491 |
0.901 |
$442.84 |
$18.02 |
+4.2% |
| Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? |
No |
499 |
0.750 |
$374.25 |
$24.95 |
+7.1% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? |
Yes |
267 |
0.988 |
$263.70 |
$3.09 |
+1.2% |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
No |
612 |
0.415 |
$253.93 |
$61.35 |
+31.9% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? |
No |
290 |
0.857 |
$248.53 |
$8.57 |
+3.6% |
| Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
277 |
0.890 |
$246.53 |
$2.77 |
+1.1% |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? |
No |
239 |
0.985 |
$234.97 |
$5.18 |
+2.3% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? |
No |
274 |
0.830 |
$227.42 |
$-13.70 |
-5.7% |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? |
Yes |
299 |
0.735 |
$219.86 |
$-8.78 |
-3.8% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? |
Yes |
300 |
0.590 |
$177.06 |
$9.01 |
+5.4% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? |
Yes |
204 |
0.808 |
$164.83 |
$-18.78 |
-10.2% |
| Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? |
No |
313 |
0.421 |
$132.11 |
$82.05 |
+163.9% |
| Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? |
Yes |
499 |
0.250 |
$124.83 |
$43.26 |
+53.0% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
Yes |
299 |
0.395 |
$118.23 |
$7.48 |
+6.8% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.380 |
$114.00 |
$-15.00 |
-11.6% |
| Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? |
Yes |
442 |
0.230 |
$101.58 |
$38.29 |
+60.5% |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
133 |
0.675 |
$89.78 |
$37.67 |
+72.3% |
| Maduro guilty of all counts? |
Yes |
298 |
0.270 |
$80.33 |
$53.52 |
+199.6% |
| Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 30,000-40,000? |
Yes |
300 |
0.225 |
$67.50 |
$-46.50 |
-40.8% |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
424 |
0.155 |
$65.74 |
$-2.12 |
-3.1% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
137 |
0.465 |
$63.89 |
$-31.80 |
-33.2% |
| Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? |
Yes |
358 |
0.170 |
$60.90 |
$-47.54 |
-43.8% |
| Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027? |
Yes |
764 |
0.077 |
$58.83 |
$-143.65 |
-70.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 5? |
Yes |
101 |
0.515 |
$52.03 |
$1.01 |
+2.0% |