| Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 10,000-20,000? |
No |
485 |
0.935 |
$453.72 |
$-10.17 |
-2.2% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? |
No |
491 |
0.901 |
$442.84 |
$18.02 |
+4.2% |
| Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? |
No |
499 |
0.755 |
$376.75 |
$27.45 |
+7.9% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? |
Yes |
267 |
0.988 |
$263.70 |
$3.09 |
+1.2% |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
No |
612 |
0.420 |
$256.99 |
$64.41 |
+33.4% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? |
No |
290 |
0.859 |
$248.97 |
$9.01 |
+3.8% |
| Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
277 |
0.880 |
$243.76 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? |
No |
239 |
0.984 |
$234.73 |
$4.94 |
+2.1% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? |
No |
274 |
0.830 |
$227.42 |
$-13.70 |
-5.7% |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? |
Yes |
299 |
0.735 |
$219.86 |
$-8.78 |
-3.8% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? |
Yes |
300 |
0.585 |
$175.56 |
$7.50 |
+4.5% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? |
Yes |
204 |
0.808 |
$164.93 |
$-18.68 |
-10.2% |
| Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? |
No |
313 |
0.402 |
$125.84 |
$75.78 |
+151.4% |
| Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? |
Yes |
499 |
0.245 |
$122.34 |
$40.76 |
+50.0% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
Yes |
299 |
0.395 |
$118.23 |
$7.48 |
+6.8% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.385 |
$115.50 |
$-13.50 |
-10.5% |
| Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? |
Yes |
442 |
0.245 |
$108.20 |
$44.92 |
+71.0% |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
133 |
0.600 |
$79.80 |
$27.69 |
+53.1% |
| Maduro guilty of all counts? |
Yes |
298 |
0.265 |
$78.84 |
$52.03 |
+194.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 6? |
No |
133 |
0.525 |
$70.05 |
$-0.67 |
-0.9% |
| Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 30,000-40,000? |
Yes |
300 |
0.225 |
$67.50 |
$-46.50 |
-40.8% |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
424 |
0.155 |
$65.74 |
$-2.12 |
-3.1% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
137 |
0.465 |
$63.89 |
$-31.80 |
-33.2% |
| Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? |
Yes |
358 |
0.170 |
$60.90 |
$-47.54 |
-43.8% |
| Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027? |
Yes |
764 |
0.077 |
$59.21 |
$-143.27 |
-70.8% |