| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
87,092 |
0.945 |
$82,302.02 |
$5,612.91 |
+7.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
46,062 |
0.999 |
$45,992.47 |
$1,964.53 |
+4.5% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
31,259 |
0.930 |
$29,070.95 |
$2,111.27 |
+7.8% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
30,626 |
0.905 |
$27,716.97 |
$4,044.66 |
+17.1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
24,959 |
0.940 |
$23,461.18 |
$3,230.31 |
+16.0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? |
No |
20,260 |
0.970 |
$19,652.19 |
$1,201.01 |
+6.5% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
22,223 |
0.845 |
$18,778.80 |
$865.27 |
+4.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
22,455 |
0.835 |
$18,749.86 |
$792.93 |
+4.4% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
No |
20,644 |
0.905 |
$18,682.86 |
$2,081.58 |
+12.5% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
14,695 |
0.966 |
$14,195.23 |
$470.25 |
+3.4% |
| Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? |
Yes |
8,357 |
0.993 |
$8,293.99 |
$665.12 |
+8.7% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? |
No |
7,567 |
0.954 |
$7,214.71 |
$652.73 |
+9.9% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
7,128 |
0.870 |
$6,201.26 |
$1,169.28 |
+23.2% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
6,385 |
0.926 |
$5,915.48 |
$40.49 |
+0.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
6,029 |
0.785 |
$4,732.99 |
$1,134.65 |
+31.5% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
16,396 |
0.260 |
$4,262.97 |
$-70.96 |
-1.6% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
No |
4,519 |
0.860 |
$3,886.56 |
$96.57 |
+2.5% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? |
No |
3,012 |
0.984 |
$2,962.53 |
$172.53 |
+6.2% |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? |
No |
3,018 |
0.920 |
$2,776.82 |
$159.83 |
+6.1% |
| Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? |
Yes |
2,428 |
0.825 |
$2,002.85 |
$102.23 |
+5.4% |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
2,122 |
0.590 |
$1,252.13 |
$-123.38 |
-9.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
1,336 |
0.895 |
$1,196.05 |
$20.05 |
+1.7% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? |
No |
1,006 |
0.925 |
$930.33 |
$151.96 |
+19.5% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
1,323 |
0.665 |
$879.75 |
$-31.25 |
-3.4% |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026? |
No |
890 |
0.935 |
$831.68 |
$75.68 |
+10.0% |