| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
87,092 |
0.940 |
$81,866.56 |
$5,177.45 |
+6.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
46,279 |
0.999 |
$46,209.49 |
$1,973.80 |
+4.5% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
31,259 |
0.920 |
$28,758.36 |
$1,798.68 |
+6.7% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
30,626 |
0.885 |
$27,104.44 |
$3,432.13 |
+14.5% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
24,959 |
0.930 |
$23,211.60 |
$2,980.72 |
+14.7% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? |
No |
20,260 |
0.973 |
$19,702.84 |
$1,251.66 |
+6.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
22,226 |
0.845 |
$18,781.27 |
$1,016.32 |
+5.7% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
22,223 |
0.845 |
$18,778.80 |
$865.27 |
+4.8% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
No |
20,644 |
0.895 |
$18,476.42 |
$1,875.14 |
+11.3% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
14,695 |
0.969 |
$14,239.32 |
$514.33 |
+3.7% |
| Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? |
Yes |
8,357 |
0.993 |
$8,293.99 |
$665.12 |
+8.7% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? |
No |
7,567 |
0.966 |
$7,305.51 |
$743.53 |
+11.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
7,128 |
0.855 |
$6,094.34 |
$1,062.36 |
+21.1% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
6,385 |
0.927 |
$5,921.87 |
$46.88 |
+0.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
6,029 |
0.765 |
$4,612.41 |
$1,014.06 |
+28.2% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
16,396 |
0.261 |
$4,271.17 |
$-62.76 |
-1.4% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
No |
4,519 |
0.840 |
$3,796.18 |
$6.18 |
+0.2% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? |
No |
3,012 |
0.985 |
$2,967.05 |
$177.05 |
+6.3% |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? |
No |
3,018 |
0.920 |
$2,776.82 |
$159.83 |
+6.1% |
| Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? |
Yes |
2,428 |
0.825 |
$2,002.85 |
$102.23 |
+5.4% |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
2,122 |
0.590 |
$1,252.13 |
$-123.38 |
-9.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
1,336 |
0.885 |
$1,182.68 |
$6.68 |
+0.6% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? |
No |
1,006 |
0.925 |
$930.33 |
$151.96 |
+19.5% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
1,323 |
0.670 |
$886.36 |
$-24.64 |
-2.7% |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026? |
No |
890 |
0.940 |
$836.13 |
$80.13 |
+10.6% |