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Trader

0xea85ab56e7e65b065076e7a26e9792f3572812dd
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
—
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
—
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
100%
3W / 0L
Trades (30d)
3
across 3 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
—
no settled positions
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,545 · all-time $22,810

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 49.7% 97W/98L 84 $3,588
🏛 Politics 36.4% 12W/21L 12 $1,135
🎬 Culture 66.7% 12W/6L 4 $252
🌤 Weather — 1 $1
🔬 Science — 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

52 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 259 0.250 $64.74 $-1.50 -2.3%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? No 44 0.959 $42.08 $-0.50 -1.2%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 45 0.835 $37.67 $5.06 +15.5%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes 177 0.070 $12.40 $-18.01 -59.2%
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No 10 0.966 $9.93 $-0.04 -0.4%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? No 9 0.989 $8.73 $0.92 +11.7%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No 8 0.962 $7.67 $0.37 +5.1%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes 27 0.255 $6.98 $-1.78 -20.3%
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes 9 0.606 $5.69 $2.08 +57.7%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? No 25 0.215 $5.41 $-17.48 -76.4%
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes 6 0.905 $5.29 $0.15 +2.8%
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes 7 0.685 $5.08 $-1.07 -17.5%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes 34 0.130 $4.47 $-3.36 -42.9%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes 31 0.125 $3.81 $-1.19 -23.7%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 5 0.785 $3.74 $2.74 +273.8%
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes 15 0.210 $3.14 $-5.08 -61.8%
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31? Yes 3 0.930 $3.06 $1.06 +53.2%
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes 6 0.485 $3.04 $0.78 +34.7%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? Yes 59 0.034 $2.02 $-6.28 -75.7%
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes 12 0.170 $2.00 $-1.80 -47.3%
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes 14 0.135 $1.93 $0.93 +92.9%
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes 2 0.805 $1.85 $-0.15 -7.4%
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? Yes 4 0.430 $1.56 $-0.44 -22.1%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? Yes 36 0.042 $1.51 $-8.29 -84.6%
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes 43 0.034 $1.48 $0.48 +47.8%