PnL (30d)

−$5

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$0

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-31.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

42%

44W / 60L · 16 open

Win Return (30d)

44%

52W / 66L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

120

across 49 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.11

avg win $0 · loss $0

Profit Factor

0.34

$2 won / $7 lost

Reward / Risk

1.04

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$4

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	43.6% 741W/958L	756	$933
⚽ Sports	30.2% 93W/215L	122	$187
🌤 Weather	14.8% 4W/23L	25	$7
🎬 Culture	74.4% 29W/10L	24	$27
₿ Crypto	25.0% 2W/6L	10	$4
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/3L	6	$5
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/5L	4	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

49 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Jahmyr Gibbs be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	44	0.467	$20.39	$19.78	+3247.4%
Will Lamar Jackson be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	50	0.402	$20.07	$19.07	+1907.5%
Will Drake Maye be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	27	0.435	$11.68	$10.92	+1449.6%
Will Josh Allen be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	28	0.330	$9.16	$8.45	+1185.3%
Will Patrick Mahomes be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	21	0.430	$9.15	$8.64	+1691.8%
Will Myles Garrett be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	21	0.279	$5.73	$5.14	+869.3%
Will Kenneth Walker III be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	19	0.264	$5.09	$4.39	+628.7%
Will Matthew Stafford be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	25	0.199	$4.98	$4.22	+559.7%
Will Shedeur Sanders be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	18	0.249	$4.55	$3.96	+670.1%
Will Sam Darnold be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	35	0.117	$4.10	$3.72	+967.8%
Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Team to Advance	KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë	14	0.250	$3.52	$3.05	+660.1%
Will Hong Kong have between 550-600mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	10	0.202	$2.02	$1.91	+1736.4%
Will Bijan Robinson be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	19	0.104	$1.99	$1.19	+148.4%
Will Trump praise Andy Burnham in August?	No	23	0.074	$1.71	$1.04	+154.4%
Will Maxx Crosby be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	14	0.107	$1.55	$1.31	+558.5%
Will Hong Kong have between 525-550mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	4	0.339	$1.41	$1.25	+747.4%
Will Donald Trump visit Oregon in 2026?	Yes	7	0.167	$1.13	$0.90	+391.1%
Will Jonathan Taylor be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	30	0.026	$0.79	$0.03	+3.4%
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026?	Yes	7	0.070	$0.50	$0.33	+191.6%
Will Hong Kong have less than 425mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	1	0.320	$0.45	$0.40	+699.8%
Will Atlante win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	Yes	12	0.028	$0.33	$0.21	+174.9%
Will LDPR win the next Chechnya Parliament elections?	Yes	12	0.024	$0.30	$-0.33	-52.4%
FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: Team to Advance	FK Kauno Žalgiris	17	0.016	$0.27	$-0.41	-60.0%
Will A Just Russia win the next Chechnya Parliament elections?	Yes	12	0.018	$0.23	$-0.16	-40.4%
Will Hong Kong have between 600-650mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	6	0.039	$0.22	$0.16	+247.5%