PnL (30d)

−$2

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$0

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

—

no reliable basis

Win Resolved (30d)

37%

10W / 17L · 12 open

Win Return (30d)

39%

11W / 17L · 11 open

Trades (30d)

39

across 23 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.14

avg win $0 · loss $0

Profit Factor

0.46

$2 won / $4 lost

Reward / Risk

1.37

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	43.6% 741W/958L	756	$933
⚽ Sports	30.3% 105W/241L	138	$199
🌤 Weather	14.8% 4W/23L	25	$7
🎬 Culture	75.0% 30W/10L	24	$27
₿ Crypto	45.5% 5W/6L	11	$6
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/3L	6	$5
💵 Economy	37.5% 3W/5L	5	$3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

51 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Surrey vs Kent - Who wins the toss?	Surrey	96	0.495	$47.52	$46.56	+4850.0%
Will Lamar Jackson be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	50	0.403	$20.12	$19.12	+1912.5%
Will Jahmyr Gibbs be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	44	0.421	$18.42	$17.81	+2924.5%
Will Drake Maye be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	27	0.442	$11.85	$11.10	+1472.8%
Will Patrick Mahomes be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	21	0.447	$9.50	$8.99	+1760.6%
Will Josh Allen be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	28	0.291	$8.09	$7.38	+1035.4%
Will Myles Garrett be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	21	0.286	$5.87	$5.28	+893.2%
Will Kenneth Walker III be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	19	0.264	$5.09	$4.39	+628.7%
Will Shedeur Sanders be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	18	0.249	$4.55	$3.96	+670.1%
Will Sam Darnold be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	35	0.117	$4.10	$3.72	+967.8%
Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Team to Advance	KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë	14	0.250	$3.52	$3.05	+660.1%
Will Matthew Stafford be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	25	0.101	$2.53	$1.77	+234.8%
Will Bijan Robinson be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	19	0.104	$1.99	$1.19	+148.4%
Will Hong Kong have between 550-600mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	10	0.199	$1.99	$1.88	+1709.1%
Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #2 song this week?	Yes	40	0.036	$1.47	$1.07	+265.0%
Will Hong Kong have between 525-550mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	4	0.244	$1.02	$0.85	+511.2%
Will Donald Trump visit Oregon in 2026?	Yes	7	0.133	$0.90	$0.67	+289.7%
Will Jonathan Taylor be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	30	0.026	$0.79	$0.03	+3.4%
Will Trump praise Andy Burnham in August?	No	23	0.032	$0.72	$0.05	+7.6%
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026?	Yes	7	0.079	$0.56	$0.39	+227.0%
Will Hong Kong have less than 425mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	1	0.290	$0.41	$0.36	+624.8%
Will Atlante win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	Yes	12	0.029	$0.34	$0.22	+184.9%
FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: Team to Advance	FK Kauno Žalgiris	17	0.018	$0.30	$-0.39	-56.2%
Will LDPR win the next Chechnya Parliament elections?	Yes	12	0.024	$0.29	$-0.33	-53.3%
Will ŽNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-08-05?	Yes	113	0.003	$0.28	$0.17	+149.9%