PnL (30d)

+$40

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$56

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+23.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

34%

314W / 610L · 85 open

Win Return (30d)

38%

376W / 622L · 11 open

Trades (30d)

1,009

across 399 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$0.11

avg win $2 · loss $1

Profit Factor

1.26

$195 won / $155 lost

Reward / Risk

4.04

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$23

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	43.5% 741W/963L	756	$933
⚽ Sports	29.7% 93W/220L	122	$187
🌤 Weather	14.8% 4W/23L	25	$7
🎬 Culture	74.4% 29W/10L	24	$27
₿ Crypto	25.0% 2W/6L	10	$4
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/3L	6	$5
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/5L	4	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

26 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Jahmyr Gibbs be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	44	0.466	$20.34	$19.73	+3240.2%
Will Lamar Jackson be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	50	0.402	$20.10	$19.10	+1910.0%
Will Drake Maye be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	27	0.427	$11.45	$10.69	+1419.4%
Will Josh Allen be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	28	0.390	$10.83	$10.12	+1419.0%
Will Myles Garrett be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	21	0.469	$9.63	$9.04	+1529.4%
Will Patrick Mahomes be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	21	0.305	$6.50	$5.99	+1173.0%
Will Kenneth Walker III be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	19	0.264	$5.09	$4.39	+628.7%
Will Matthew Stafford be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	25	0.199	$4.98	$4.22	+559.7%
Will Shedeur Sanders be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	18	0.249	$4.55	$3.96	+670.1%
Will Sam Darnold be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	35	0.117	$4.10	$3.72	+967.8%
Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Team to Advance	KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë	14	0.250	$3.52	$3.05	+660.1%
Will Bijan Robinson be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	19	0.104	$1.99	$1.19	+148.4%
Will Trump praise Andy Burnham in August?	No	23	0.074	$1.71	$1.04	+154.4%
FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: Team to Advance	FK Kauno Žalgiris	17	0.090	$1.55	$0.86	+125.0%
Will Maxx Crosby be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	14	0.102	$1.46	$1.23	+521.7%
Will Donald Trump visit Oregon in 2026?	Yes	7	0.168	$1.13	$0.90	+392.6%
Will Jonathan Taylor be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	30	0.026	$0.79	$0.03	+3.4%
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026?	Yes	7	0.073	$0.53	$0.35	+206.2%
Will Atlante win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	Yes	12	0.028	$0.33	$0.21	+180.0%
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?	Yes	12	0.017	$0.21	$-0.12	-36.4%
Will Tijuana win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	Yes	4	0.048	$0.19	$0.15	+379.8%
Will Aaron Rodgers be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	38	0.004	$0.17	$-0.59	-77.7%
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $4M before 2027?	Yes	2	0.042	$0.09	$0.04	+72.7%
FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 0.5	Under	2	0.045	$0.09	$0.01	+12.3%
Will Atlético de San Luis win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	Yes	5	0.008	$0.04	$-0.01	-20.0%