PnL (30d)

+$259

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$77

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+88.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

44%

738W / 955L · 214 open

Win Return (30d)

47%

865W / 989L · 53 open

Trades (30d)

1,907

across 747 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$0.40

avg win $2 · loss $0

Profit Factor

2.28

$462 won / $203 lost

Reward / Risk

5.16

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$17

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	43.6% 738W/955L	747	$927
⚽ Sports	29.9% 102W/239L	133	$196
🌤 Weather	14.8% 4W/23L	25	$6
🎬 Culture	75.0% 30W/10L	24	$27
₿ Crypto	45.5% 5W/6L	10	$5
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/3L	5	$5
💵 Economy	37.5% 3W/5L	4	$3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

47 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Lamar Jackson be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	50	0.402	$20.07	$19.07	+1907.5%
Will Jahmyr Gibbs be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	44	0.449	$19.62	$19.01	+3121.9%
Will Drake Maye be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	27	0.442	$11.84	$11.08	+1471.0%
Will Patrick Mahomes be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	21	0.459	$9.77	$9.26	+1812.7%
Will Matthew Stafford be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	25	0.329	$8.22	$7.46	+989.0%
Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #2 song this week?	Yes	40	0.150	$6.04	$5.64	+1400.0%
Will Myles Garrett be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	21	0.272	$5.58	$4.99	+843.2%
Will Kenneth Walker III be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	19	0.264	$5.09	$4.39	+628.7%
Will Shedeur Sanders be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	18	0.249	$4.55	$3.96	+670.1%
Will Sam Darnold be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	35	0.117	$4.10	$3.72	+967.8%
Will Josh Allen be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	28	0.147	$4.10	$3.38	+474.5%
Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Team to Advance	KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë	14	0.255	$3.59	$3.12	+675.3%
Will Hong Kong have between 550-600mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	10	0.259	$2.59	$2.48	+2254.5%
Will Bijan Robinson be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	19	0.104	$2.00	$1.20	+149.6%
Will Trump praise Andy Burnham in August?	No	23	0.062	$1.43	$0.75	+111.7%
Will Hong Kong have between 525-550mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	4	0.234	$0.97	$0.81	+483.7%
Will Maxx Crosby be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	14	0.057	$0.82	$0.59	+249.1%
Will Jonathan Taylor be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	30	0.026	$0.79	$0.03	+3.4%
Will Hong Kong have less than 425mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	1	0.280	$0.40	$0.34	+599.8%
FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: Team to Advance	FK Kauno Žalgiris	17	0.021	$0.35	$-0.33	-48.7%
Will Atlante win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	Yes	12	0.028	$0.33	$0.21	+174.9%
Will LDPR win the next Chechnya Parliament elections?	Yes	12	0.025	$0.31	$-0.31	-49.6%
Will A Just Russia win the next Chechnya Parliament elections?	Yes	12	0.018	$0.22	$-0.16	-42.1%
Will Hong Kong have between 600-650mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	6	0.038	$0.22	$0.16	+243.1%
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?	Yes	12	0.016	$0.20	$-0.13	-40.2%