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Trader

0xd850eee235ec87b06d675af9901acc13eec8e26c
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$78
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$5
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
48%
136W / 148L · 71 open
Win Return (30d)
56%
198W / 157L
Trades (30d)
355
across 137 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.60
avg win $44 · loss $41
Profit Factor
1.03
$2,815 won / $2,737 lost
Reward / Risk
1.06
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$438
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $36,833 · all-time $3,286,707

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 49.2% 2,978W/3,074L 4339 $77,137
₿ Crypto 52.3% 374W/341L 617 $5,369
🎬 Culture 39.1% 124W/193L 127 $9,351
🤖 Tech 30.9% 46W/103L 63 $4,872
🏛 Politics 40.9% 52W/75L 54 $3,755
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/2L 2 $100

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

23 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Trump say "Warren Buffett" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 537 0.740 $397.44 $13.58 +3.5%
Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto", or "Cryptocurrency" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 400 0.945 $378.00 $2.00 +0.5%
Will Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 881 0.270 $237.83 $49.88 +26.5%
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 277 0.830 $229.73 $-9.85 -4.1%
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 1,931 0.110 $212.40 $-79.48 -27.2%
Will Trump say "Rural Health" or "Rural Healthcare" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 281 0.645 $181.18 $-18.26 -9.2%
Will Trump say "Police Officer" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 256 0.680 $173.94 $-2.99 -1.7%
Will Disney say "Fortnite" during earnings call? No 152 0.845 $128.65 $28.81 +28.9%
Will Disney say "Epic Universe" during earnings call? No 138 0.915 $126.73 $26.86 +26.9%
Will Trump say "No No No" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 163 0.715 $116.55 $17.11 +17.2%
Will Uber say "Market Share" during earnings call? No 117 0.995 $116.34 $16.64 +16.7%
Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? No 400 0.275 $110.00 $-6.00 -5.2%
Will Trump say "COVID" or "Warp Speed" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 171 0.630 $107.80 $11.08 +11.5%
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Yes 199 0.535 $106.23 $6.65 +6.7%
Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 255 0.300 $76.38 $-24.62 -24.4%
Will Uber say "Oil", "Gas", or "Gasoline" during earnings call? No 141 0.535 $75.23 $-24.77 -24.8%
Will Uber say "DoorDash" during earnings call? No 120 0.526 $63.11 $-36.78 -36.8%
Will Disney say "Box Office" during earnings call? No 765 0.005 $3.83 $-96.15 -96.2%
Will Disney say "Attendance" during earnings call? No 597 0.005 $2.99 $-97.01 -97.0%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? No 189 0.015 $2.93 $-96.79 -97.1%
Will Disney say "Moana" during earnings call? No 277 0.005 $1.39 $-98.44 -98.6%
Will Disney say "Toy Story 5" during earnings call? No 481 0.001 $0.24 $-99.76 -99.8%
Will Disney say "Domestic" during earnings call? No 463 0.001 $0.23 $-99.51 -99.8%