PnL (30d)

+$565

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$503

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

49%

2,950W / 3,050L · 167 open

Win Return (30d)

49%

3,001W / 3,163L · 3 open

Trades (30d)

6,167

across 4,295 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

+$0.13

avg win $17 · loss $17

Profit Factor

1.02

$35,935 won / $35,370 lost

Reward / Risk

0.99

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,005

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	49.2% 2,950W/3,050L	4295	$76,411
₿ Crypto	52.5% 424W/384L	699	$6,125
🎬 Culture	42.1% 135W/186L	141	$10,008
🤖 Tech	37.2% 54W/91L	70	$5,163
🏛 Politics	40.7% 55W/80L	61	$4,121
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/2L	2	$100

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

28 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Trump say "Warren Buffett" during remarks in Las Vegas?	No	537	0.720	$386.70	$2.84	+0.7%
Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto", or "Cryptocurrency" during remarks in Las Vegas?	No	400	0.955	$382.00	$6.00	+1.6%
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during remarks in Las Vegas?	No	277	0.865	$239.42	$-0.16	-0.1%
Will Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas?	No	767	0.225	$172.63	$9.67	+5.9%
Will Disney say "Moana" during earnings call?	No	277	0.565	$156.67	$56.85	+56.9%
Will Trump say "Rural Health" or "Rural Healthcare" during remarks in Las Vegas?	No	281	0.555	$155.90	$-43.54	-21.8%
Will Trump say "Police Officer" during remarks in Las Vegas?	No	216	0.630	$136.07	$-14.19	-9.4%
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in Las Vegas?	No	1,931	0.065	$125.51	$-166.37	-57.0%
Will Uber say "Expansion" during earnings call?	No	463	0.270	$125.10	$50.80	+68.4%
Will Disney say "Fortnite" during earnings call?	No	152	0.770	$117.23	$17.39	+17.4%
Will Uber say "Oil", "Gas", or "Gasoline" during earnings call?	No	141	0.765	$107.57	$7.57	+7.6%
Will Trump say "No No No" during remarks in Las Vegas?	No	163	0.645	$105.14	$5.71	+5.7%
Will Uber say "Drone" during earnings call?	No	116	0.885	$102.66	$2.74	+2.7%
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	199	0.505	$100.28	$0.69	+0.7%
Will Disney say "Epic Universe" during earnings call?	No	138	0.680	$94.18	$-5.69	-5.7%
Will Trump say "COVID" or "Warp Speed" during remarks in Las Vegas?	No	160	0.565	$90.38	$0.68	+0.8%
Will Uber say "Nvidia" during earnings call?	No	221	0.385	$85.08	$-14.83	-14.8%
Will Uber say "DoorDash" during earnings call?	No	120	0.655	$78.59	$-21.30	-21.3%
Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas?	No	250	0.305	$76.12	$-23.72	-23.8%
Will Uber say "Market Share" during earnings call?	No	117	0.565	$66.09	$-33.62	-33.7%
Will Uber say "Safety" during earnings call?	No	244	0.255	$62.22	$-37.49	-37.6%
Will Disney say "Domestic" during earnings call?	No	463	0.130	$60.19	$-39.55	-39.7%
Will Disney say "Attendance" during earnings call?	No	597	0.095	$56.74	$-43.26	-43.3%
Will Disney say "Box Office" during earnings call?	No	765	0.050	$38.25	$-61.73	-61.7%
Will Uber say "Waymo" during earnings call?	No	462	0.065	$30.00	$-70.00	-70.0%