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Trader

0xd850eee235ec87b06d675af9901acc13eec8e26c
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$244
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+10.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
35%
29W / 53L
Win Return (30d)
35%
29W / 53L
Trades (30d)
82
across 49 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$4.97
avg win $74 · loss $47
Profit Factor
1.19
$1,550 won / $1,307 lost
Reward / Risk
1.58
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$100
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $35,954 · all-time $3,285,964

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 49.4% 2,976W/3,052L 4335 $77,083
₿ Crypto 52.6% 372W/335L 613 $5,315
🎬 Culture 40.9% 124W/179L 127 $9,351
🤖 Tech 34.1% 46W/89L 63 $4,872
🏛 Politics 40.9% 52W/75L 54 $3,755
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/2L 2 $100

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

29 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Trump say "Warren Buffett" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 537 0.725 $389.38 $5.53 +1.4%
Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto", or "Cryptocurrency" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 400 0.945 $378.00 $2.00 +0.5%
Will Disney say "Attendance" during earnings call? No 597 0.460 $274.75 $174.75 +174.8%
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 277 0.865 $239.42 $-0.16 -0.1%
Will Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 865 0.225 $194.73 $10.16 +5.5%
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 1,931 0.095 $183.43 $-108.45 -37.2%
Will Trump say "Rural Health" or "Rural Healthcare" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 281 0.590 $165.73 $-33.71 -16.9%
Will Trump say "Police Officer" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 216 0.645 $139.31 $-10.95 -7.3%
Will Disney say "Epic Universe" during earnings call? No 138 0.860 $119.11 $19.24 +19.3%
Will Disney say "Fortnite" during earnings call? No 152 0.775 $117.99 $18.15 +18.2%
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Yes 199 0.525 $104.25 $4.66 +4.7%
Will Trump say "No No No" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 163 0.620 $101.06 $1.63 +1.6%
Will Uber say "Nvidia" during earnings call? No 221 0.445 $98.34 $-1.57 -1.6%
Will Trump say "COVID" or "Warp Speed" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 165 0.570 $94.03 $1.53 +1.7%
Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 255 0.320 $81.47 $-19.53 -19.3%
Will Uber say "Market Share" during earnings call? No 117 0.585 $68.44 $-31.27 -31.4%
Will Uber say "Oil", "Gas", or "Gasoline" during earnings call? No 141 0.415 $58.35 $-41.65 -41.6%
Will Uber say "Drone" during earnings call? No 116 0.445 $51.62 $-48.30 -48.3%
Will Uber say "DoorDash" during earnings call? No 120 0.380 $45.60 $-54.29 -54.4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8AM ET Up 40 0.993 $39.72 $19.72 +98.6%
Will Disney say "Domestic" during earnings call? No 463 0.055 $25.46 $-74.27 -74.5%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? No 189 0.026 $5.02 $-94.70 -95.0%
Will Disney say "Box Office" during earnings call? No 765 0.005 $4.21 $-95.77 -95.8%
Will Uber say "Safety" during earnings call? No 244 0.015 $3.66 $-96.05 -96.3%
Will Uber say "Expansion" during earnings call? No 463 0.005 $2.32 $-71.98 -96.9%