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Trader

0xd850eee235ec87b06d675af9901acc13eec8e26c
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$273
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-1.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
1,287W / 1,304L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
50%
1,287W / 1,304L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
2,593
across 2,139 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.13
avg win $10 · loss $10
Profit Factor
0.98
$10,851 won / $11,124 lost
Reward / Risk
0.96
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$264
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $35,250 · all-time $3,285,261

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 49.2% 2,953W/3,050L 4297 $76,432
₿ Crypto 52.7% 427W/384L 701 $6,146
🎬 Culture 42.1% 135W/186L 141 $10,008
🤖 Tech 37.2% 54W/91L 70 $5,163
🏛 Politics 40.7% 55W/80L 61 $4,121
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/2L 2 $100

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

30 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Trump say "Warren Buffett" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 537 0.720 $386.70 $2.84 +0.7%
Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto", or "Cryptocurrency" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 400 0.955 $382.00 $6.00 +1.6%
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 277 0.865 $239.42 $-0.16 -0.1%
Will Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 767 0.225 $172.63 $9.67 +5.9%
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 1,931 0.085 $164.12 $-127.76 -43.8%
Will Trump say "Rural Health" or "Rural Healthcare" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 281 0.570 $160.08 $-39.35 -19.7%
Will Disney say "Moana" during earnings call? No 277 0.565 $156.67 $56.85 +56.9%
Will Trump say "Police Officer" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 216 0.630 $136.07 $-14.19 -9.4%
Will Uber say "Expansion" during earnings call? No 463 0.255 $118.15 $43.85 +59.0%
Will Disney say "Fortnite" during earnings call? No 152 0.775 $117.99 $18.15 +18.2%
Will Uber say "Oil", "Gas", or "Gasoline" during earnings call? No 141 0.765 $107.57 $7.57 +7.6%
Will Trump say "No No No" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 163 0.645 $105.14 $5.71 +5.7%
Will Uber say "Drone" during earnings call? No 116 0.890 $103.24 $3.32 +3.3%
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Yes 199 0.505 $100.28 $0.69 +0.7%
Will Disney say "Epic Universe" during earnings call? No 138 0.680 $94.18 $-5.69 -5.7%
Will Trump say "COVID" or "Warp Speed" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 165 0.560 $92.40 $-0.10 -0.1%
Will Uber say "Nvidia" during earnings call? No 221 0.385 $85.08 $-14.83 -14.8%
Will Uber say "DoorDash" during earnings call? No 120 0.655 $78.59 $-21.30 -21.3%
Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 255 0.290 $73.83 $-27.17 -26.9%
Will Uber say "Market Share" during earnings call? No 117 0.565 $66.09 $-33.62 -33.7%
Will Uber say "Safety" during earnings call? No 244 0.255 $62.22 $-37.49 -37.6%
Will Disney say "Attendance" during earnings call? No 597 0.095 $56.74 $-43.26 -43.3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 40 1.000 $40.00 $20.00 +100.0%
Will Disney say "Box Office" during earnings call? No 765 0.050 $38.25 $-61.73 -61.7%
Will Uber say "Waymo" during earnings call? No 462 0.080 $36.92 $-63.08 -63.1%