| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.155 |
$310.00 |
$-270.00 |
-46.6% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
1,900 |
0.147 |
$280.25 |
$-933.04 |
-76.9% |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? |
Yes |
10,669 |
0.023 |
$245.39 |
$-718.97 |
-74.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
No |
4,000 |
0.055 |
$220.00 |
$-167.89 |
-43.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
450 |
0.399 |
$179.32 |
$84.82 |
+89.8% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
616 |
0.255 |
$157.04 |
$89.30 |
+131.8% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
800 |
0.185 |
$148.00 |
$-12.00 |
-7.5% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
Yes |
1,250 |
0.110 |
$137.50 |
$-200.00 |
-59.3% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
Yes |
2,400 |
0.050 |
$119.99 |
$-336.10 |
-73.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.225 |
$112.50 |
$2.50 |
+2.3% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,865 |
0.055 |
$102.56 |
$-219.67 |
-68.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
1,000 |
0.095 |
$95.00 |
$-45.00 |
-32.1% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? |
Yes |
500 |
0.136 |
$67.75 |
$-9.03 |
-11.8% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.065 |
$65.00 |
$-65.00 |
-50.0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of August 3 2026? |
Yes |
11,890 |
0.004 |
$47.56 |
$-86.21 |
-64.4% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,675 |
0.025 |
$42.53 |
$-30.28 |
-41.6% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Yes |
1,660 |
0.024 |
$39.01 |
$-43.92 |
-53.0% |
| Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? |
Yes |
550 |
0.065 |
$35.75 |
$-23.75 |
-39.9% |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
159 |
0.143 |
$22.76 |
$12.62 |
+124.5% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.011 |
$22.00 |
$-98.00 |
-81.7% |
| US x China Military clash before 2027? |
Yes |
500 |
0.044 |
$22.00 |
$-33.00 |
-60.0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of August 3 2026? |
Yes |
970 |
0.019 |
$18.43 |
$-58.77 |
-76.1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of August 3 2026? |
Yes |
5,340 |
0.003 |
$16.02 |
$-86.48 |
-84.4% |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? |
Yes |
187 |
0.082 |
$15.24 |
$-47.93 |
-75.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
No |
4,100 |
0.003 |
$10.25 |
$-189.09 |
-94.9% |