| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.165 |
$330.00 |
$-250.00 |
-43.1% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
1,900 |
0.147 |
$280.25 |
$-933.04 |
-76.9% |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? |
Yes |
10,669 |
0.024 |
$250.73 |
$-713.64 |
-74.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
No |
4,000 |
0.055 |
$220.00 |
$-167.89 |
-43.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
450 |
0.481 |
$216.44 |
$121.95 |
+129.0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
616 |
0.295 |
$181.68 |
$113.93 |
+168.2% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
800 |
0.185 |
$148.00 |
$-12.00 |
-7.5% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
Yes |
2,400 |
0.060 |
$143.99 |
$-312.10 |
-68.4% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
Yes |
1,250 |
0.100 |
$125.00 |
$-212.50 |
-63.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.225 |
$112.50 |
$2.50 |
+2.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
1,000 |
0.105 |
$105.00 |
$-35.00 |
-25.0% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,865 |
0.055 |
$102.56 |
$-219.67 |
-68.2% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? |
Yes |
500 |
0.140 |
$70.00 |
$-6.78 |
-8.8% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.065 |
$65.00 |
$-65.00 |
-50.0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of August 3 2026? |
Yes |
11,890 |
0.004 |
$47.56 |
$-86.21 |
-64.4% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,675 |
0.025 |
$42.53 |
$-30.28 |
-41.6% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Yes |
1,660 |
0.024 |
$39.01 |
$-43.92 |
-53.0% |
| Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? |
Yes |
550 |
0.065 |
$35.75 |
$-23.75 |
-39.9% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.012 |
$24.00 |
$-96.00 |
-80.0% |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
159 |
0.144 |
$22.84 |
$12.70 |
+125.3% |
| US x China Military clash before 2027? |
Yes |
500 |
0.044 |
$22.00 |
$-33.00 |
-60.0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of August 3 2026? |
Yes |
970 |
0.021 |
$20.37 |
$-56.83 |
-73.6% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of August 3 2026? |
Yes |
5,340 |
0.003 |
$16.02 |
$-86.48 |
-84.4% |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? |
Yes |
187 |
0.082 |
$15.24 |
$-47.93 |
-75.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
45 |
0.145 |
$6.52 |
$-5.18 |
-44.2% |