| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.155 |
$310.00 |
$-270.00 |
-46.6% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
1,900 |
0.150 |
$285.95 |
$-927.34 |
-76.4% |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? |
Yes |
10,669 |
0.023 |
$245.39 |
$-718.97 |
-74.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
450 |
0.535 |
$240.74 |
$146.25 |
+154.8% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
616 |
0.320 |
$197.07 |
$129.33 |
+190.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
No |
4,000 |
0.045 |
$180.00 |
$-207.89 |
-53.6% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
Yes |
2,400 |
0.070 |
$167.99 |
$-288.10 |
-63.2% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
800 |
0.195 |
$156.00 |
$-4.00 |
-2.5% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
Yes |
1,250 |
0.110 |
$137.50 |
$-200.00 |
-59.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.225 |
$112.50 |
$2.50 |
+2.3% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,865 |
0.055 |
$102.56 |
$-219.67 |
-68.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
1,000 |
0.095 |
$95.00 |
$-45.00 |
-32.1% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? |
Yes |
500 |
0.138 |
$68.75 |
$-8.03 |
-10.5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.065 |
$65.00 |
$-65.00 |
-50.0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of August 3 2026? |
Yes |
11,890 |
0.004 |
$47.56 |
$-86.21 |
-64.4% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Yes |
1,660 |
0.025 |
$40.67 |
$-42.26 |
-51.0% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,675 |
0.024 |
$40.19 |
$-32.63 |
-44.8% |
| Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? |
Yes |
550 |
0.065 |
$35.75 |
$-23.75 |
-39.9% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of August 3 2026? |
Yes |
970 |
0.030 |
$29.10 |
$-48.10 |
-62.3% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.011 |
$23.00 |
$-97.00 |
-80.8% |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
159 |
0.142 |
$22.51 |
$12.37 |
+122.0% |
| US x China Military clash before 2027? |
Yes |
500 |
0.044 |
$22.00 |
$-33.00 |
-60.0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of August 3 2026? |
Yes |
5,340 |
0.003 |
$16.02 |
$-86.48 |
-84.4% |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? |
Yes |
187 |
0.082 |
$15.24 |
$-47.93 |
-75.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
45 |
0.150 |
$6.75 |
$-4.95 |
-42.3% |