| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.155 |
$310.00 |
$-270.00 |
-46.6% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
1,900 |
0.148 |
$281.20 |
$-932.09 |
-76.8% |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? |
Yes |
10,669 |
0.023 |
$245.39 |
$-718.97 |
-74.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
No |
4,000 |
0.055 |
$220.00 |
$-167.89 |
-43.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
450 |
0.445 |
$200.02 |
$105.52 |
+111.7% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
800 |
0.185 |
$148.00 |
$-12.00 |
-7.5% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
Yes |
1,250 |
0.105 |
$131.25 |
$-206.25 |
-61.1% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
616 |
0.205 |
$126.25 |
$58.51 |
+86.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.225 |
$112.50 |
$2.50 |
+2.3% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
Yes |
2,400 |
0.045 |
$108.00 |
$-348.10 |
-76.3% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,865 |
0.055 |
$102.56 |
$-219.67 |
-68.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
1,000 |
0.090 |
$90.00 |
$-50.00 |
-35.7% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? |
Yes |
500 |
0.136 |
$68.00 |
$-8.78 |
-11.4% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.065 |
$65.00 |
$-65.00 |
-50.0% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,675 |
0.025 |
$42.53 |
$-30.28 |
-41.6% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of August 3 2026? |
Yes |
11,890 |
0.004 |
$41.62 |
$-92.16 |
-68.9% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Yes |
1,660 |
0.024 |
$39.01 |
$-43.92 |
-53.0% |
| Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? |
Yes |
550 |
0.065 |
$35.75 |
$-23.75 |
-39.9% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.011 |
$23.00 |
$-97.00 |
-80.8% |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
159 |
0.143 |
$22.76 |
$12.62 |
+124.5% |
| US x China Military clash before 2027? |
Yes |
500 |
0.044 |
$22.00 |
$-33.00 |
-60.0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of August 3 2026? |
Yes |
970 |
0.018 |
$17.94 |
$-59.25 |
-76.8% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of August 3 2026? |
Yes |
5,340 |
0.003 |
$16.02 |
$-86.48 |
-84.4% |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? |
Yes |
187 |
0.082 |
$15.24 |
$-47.93 |
-75.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
No |
4,100 |
0.002 |
$8.20 |
$-191.14 |
-95.9% |