| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
15,139 |
0.855 |
$12,943.79 |
$65.98 |
+0.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
13,613 |
0.695 |
$9,459.63 |
$2,894.48 |
+44.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
19,643 |
0.480 |
$9,438.65 |
$2,409.01 |
+34.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
8,696 |
0.915 |
$7,956.94 |
$109.70 |
+1.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
9,312 |
0.805 |
$7,496.24 |
$1,000.18 |
+15.4% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
5,000 |
0.895 |
$4,474.99 |
$-175.00 |
-3.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
4,434 |
0.960 |
$4,257.01 |
$231.36 |
+5.7% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
No |
3,841 |
0.725 |
$2,782.58 |
$-629.04 |
-18.4% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
3,824 |
0.625 |
$2,390.05 |
$-1,151.67 |
-32.5% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
1,995 |
0.885 |
$1,765.60 |
$593.93 |
+50.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
1,545 |
1.000 |
$1,544.18 |
$45.58 |
+3.0% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
1,735 |
0.855 |
$1,483.48 |
$44.50 |
+3.1% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
1,515 |
0.705 |
$1,067.92 |
$47.57 |
+4.7% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
No |
910 |
0.875 |
$796.25 |
$364.00 |
+84.2% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
5,957 |
0.095 |
$565.91 |
$-1,133.21 |
-66.7% |
| Will Trump say "Racist" or "Lebron James" during remarks in Las Vegas? |
No |
587 |
0.690 |
$405.31 |
$-93.48 |
-18.7% |
| Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30? |
No |
389 |
0.972 |
$378.32 |
$253.20 |
+202.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
3,334 |
0.105 |
$350.02 |
$-1,233.15 |
-77.9% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? |
No |
177 |
0.962 |
$170.28 |
$10.89 |
+6.8% |
| Will Trump say "COVID" or "Warp Speed" during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
387 |
0.430 |
$166.41 |
$23.57 |
+16.5% |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
335 |
0.460 |
$153.96 |
$17.18 |
+12.6% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
Yes |
2,555 |
0.060 |
$153.30 |
$-127.75 |
-45.5% |
| Will Trump say "No No No" during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
358 |
0.375 |
$134.15 |
$-4.65 |
-3.3% |
| Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? |
Yes |
1,261 |
0.073 |
$92.69 |
$-130.95 |
-58.6% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
93 |
0.940 |
$87.79 |
$4.67 |
+5.6% |