| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
15,139 |
0.880 |
$13,322.26 |
$444.45 |
+3.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
13,613 |
0.715 |
$9,733.25 |
$3,168.10 |
+48.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
19,776 |
0.426 |
$8,434.45 |
$1,325.52 |
+18.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
8,696 |
0.925 |
$8,043.90 |
$196.66 |
+2.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
9,484 |
0.830 |
$7,871.75 |
$1,236.43 |
+18.6% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
5,000 |
0.905 |
$4,524.99 |
$-125.00 |
-2.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
4,434 |
0.978 |
$4,336.83 |
$311.17 |
+7.7% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
No |
3,841 |
0.763 |
$2,932.37 |
$-479.26 |
-14.0% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
3,824 |
0.595 |
$2,275.32 |
$-1,266.39 |
-35.8% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
1,995 |
0.895 |
$1,785.55 |
$613.88 |
+52.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
1,545 |
1.000 |
$1,544.18 |
$45.58 |
+3.0% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
1,735 |
0.855 |
$1,483.48 |
$44.50 |
+3.1% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
1,515 |
0.735 |
$1,113.36 |
$93.02 |
+9.1% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? |
Yes |
1,296 |
0.630 |
$816.69 |
$-203.13 |
-19.9% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
No |
910 |
0.875 |
$796.25 |
$364.00 |
+84.2% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
5,957 |
0.095 |
$565.91 |
$-1,133.21 |
-66.7% |
| Will Trump say "Racist" or "Lebron James" during remarks in Las Vegas? |
No |
587 |
0.775 |
$455.30 |
$-43.49 |
-8.7% |
| Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30? |
No |
389 |
0.973 |
$378.52 |
$253.40 |
+202.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
3,334 |
0.090 |
$300.02 |
$-1,283.15 |
-81.0% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? |
No |
177 |
0.962 |
$170.37 |
$10.98 |
+6.9% |
| Will Trump say "COVID" or "Warp Speed" during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
387 |
0.410 |
$158.67 |
$15.83 |
+11.1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
Yes |
2,555 |
0.060 |
$153.30 |
$-127.75 |
-45.5% |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
335 |
0.455 |
$152.29 |
$15.51 |
+11.3% |
| Will Trump say "No No No" during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
358 |
0.295 |
$105.53 |
$-33.27 |
-24.0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? |
Yes |
1,261 |
0.073 |
$92.06 |
$-131.58 |
-58.8% |